Match details. UEFA Champions League. Kick-off is Wed 25 Nov, 21:00 Lagos time.
Form. Sporting have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L L. Man Utd have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L D.
The numbers. Sporting score two and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Sporting average 12.0 shots (4.6 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Man Utd score 0.6 and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Man Utd average 13.7 shots (4.2 on target), 5.4 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
The read. Sporting to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Sporting the likelier winners; Sporting are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Sporting. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The bets. Best bet: Sporting or Draw at 1.38, 82% on the records (Sporting unbeaten in 3 of 5 at home; Man Utd failed to win 5 of 5 away). The safer one: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.16 (96%). Full cover: Man Utd Over 0.5 Goals at 1.26. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Sporting or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Man Utd Under 1.5 goals (Sporting's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Sporting or draw and both teams score (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Sporting 2-1 Man Utd (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Sporting or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES
1.16
SPO 5 of 5 (100%) · MAN 5 of 5 (100%)100%
Sporting: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Man Utd: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · each game weighed by who it was against
Sporting or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SPO 5 of 5 (100%) · MAN 5 of 5 (100%)100%
Sporting: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Man Utd: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · each game weighed by who it was against
Sporting or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.26
SPO 4 of 5 (80%) · MAN 4 of 5 (80%)86.7%
Sporting scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · Man Utd trailed or failed to win in 5 of 5 away
Double Chance: Sporting or DrawMAININ CODES
1.38
SPO 3 of 5 (60%) · MAN 5 of 5 (100%)81.8%
Sporting unbeaten in 3 of 5 at home · Man Utd failed to win 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · each game weighed by who it was against
Sporting or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.30
SPO 5 of 5 (100%) · MAN 3 of 5 (60%)80.3%
Sporting: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Man Utd: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 81% · each game weighed by who it was against
Sporting 1UPIN CODES
1.54
SPO 4 of 5 (80%) · MAN 4 of 5 (80%)80%
Sporting scored first 3 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 4 of 5 at home · Man Utd trailed in 4 of 5 away
Sporting to Win Either Half: YesPAGE ONLY
1.57
SPO 3 of 5 (60%) · MAN 4 of 5 (80%)71.9%
Sporting: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Man Utd: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 76% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
1X2 - 2UP: SportingLEANPAGE ONLY
2.08
SPO 3 of 5 (60%) · MAN 3 of 5 (60%)60%
Sporting scored first 3 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 3 · led by 2 or won in 3 of 5 at home · Man Utd trailed by 2 or lost in 3 of 5 away
Sporting to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
2.30
SPO 2 of 5 (40%) · MAN 3 of 5 (60%)53.7%
Sporting won 2 of 5 at home · Man Utd lost 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 61% · each game weighed by who it was against
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsSAFERIN CODES
1.16
SPO 5 of 5 (100%) · MAN 5 of 5 (100%)95.8%
Sporting: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Man Utd: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 87% · each game weighed by who it was against
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesIN CODES
1.52
SPO 5 of 5 (100%) · MAN 3 of 5 (60%)74.4%
Sporting: both scored in 5 of 5 at home · Man Utd: both scored in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 63% · each game weighed by who it was against
SPORTING GOALS
Sporting Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.19
SPO 5 of 5 (100%) · MAN 5 of 5 (100%)100%
Sporting scored in 5 of 5 at home · Man Utd conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · each game weighed by who it was against
MAN UTD GOALS
Man Utd Over 0.5 goalsFULL COVERIN CODES
1.26
SPO 3 of 5 (60%) · MAN 5 of 5 (100%)74.4%
Man Utd scored in 3 of 5 away · Sporting conceded in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 63% · each game weighed by who it was against
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SPO 4 of 5 (80%) · MAN 4 of 5 (80%)78.4%
Sporting's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 5 at home · Man Utd's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · each game weighed by who it was against
Left off the list: Sporting or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Man Utd Under 1.5 goals (Sporting's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Sporting or draw and both teams score (the numbers (46%) and the records (56%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.8%
Sporting goals →
Man Utd goals ↓
0-05%
1-08%
2-08%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.9%
0-15%
1-111%
2-110%
3-16%
4-13%
5-11%
0-23%
1-26%
2-26%
3-24%
4-22%
5-20.7%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.7%
5-30.3%
0-40.4%
1-40.7%
2-40.7%
3-40.4%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
SPORTINGWDDWWLLWWW2.00 PPG
MAN UTDLLDDLDLLLW0.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
SPORTING HOMExMAN UTD AWAY
1.90SCORED A GAME0.901.10CONCEDED A GAME2.0030%CLEAN SHEETS0%4.00CORNERS A GAME5.402.10CARDS A GAME3.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.00POINTS A GAME0.78+1.11GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.56+6.1SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.81.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.69LEAGUE GAMES9
Sporting: the quality side - more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
91%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
74%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
48%
NO · 85/90
SPORTING OR DRAW
88%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
MAN UTD OR DRAW
55%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
SPORTINGxMAN UTD
5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME0.601.20CONCEDED A GAME1.603.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.2100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%80%BOTH SCORE60%5.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.27.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.6
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Sporting have scored in 100% of their games.
Man Utd have scored in 60% of their games.
Sporting kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Man Utd kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards