Libertad Asuncion vs Nacional Asuncion
Match details. Division de Honor, Clausura - 19. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 23:30 Lagos time. It is played at Dr. Nicolás Leoz, Asunción.
What's at stake. Libertad Asuncion are 5th on 30 points after 18 games, 1 point behind Sportivo Trinidense, level on points with 2 de Mayo. A win would take them above Sportivo Trinidense. Nacional Asuncion are 2nd on 32 points after 18 games, 7 points behind Olimpia, 1 point clear of Club Guarani.
Form. Libertad Asuncion have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L D. In this competition Libertad Asuncion have gone L L W L D W. Nacional Asuncion have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W W. In this competition Nacional Asuncion have gone L W L W W D.
The numbers. Libertad Asuncion score 1.3 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Libertad Asuncion average 15.5 shots (4.5 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. Nacional Asuncion score 1.4 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. Nacional Asuncion average 14.0 shots (5.2 on target), 6.1 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 47% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Libertad Asuncion have won four, drawn none and lost six. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Libertad Asuncion won one and Nacional Asuncion won three. The last time they met, on 2 Sep 2026, it finished Libertad Asuncion 0-3 Nacional Asuncion: Libertad Asuncion had 14 shots to 12, 61% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%; seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Libertad Asuncion's record still gives them 30% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.
The read. Nacional Asuncion to win. An open game. Nacional Asuncion are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Nacional Asuncion; the meetings favour Nacional Asuncion. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Libertad Asuncion 1-2 Nacional Asuncion (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).