Match details. UEFA Champions League. Kick-off is Wed 25 Nov, 18:45 Lagos time.
Form. Slavia Prague have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D D. Villarreal have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W L.
The numbers. Slavia Prague score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Slavia Prague average 18.0 shots (6.1 on target), 7.3 corners and 1.2 cards a game. Villarreal score 2.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Villarreal average 15.0 shots (5.9 on target), 5.9 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.14, 78% on the records (Slavia Prague: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Villarreal: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.17. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Slavia Prague or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Villarreal or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Slavia Prague 1-2 Villarreal (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.14
SLA 4 of 5 (80%) · VIL 4 of 5 (80%)78.3%
Slavia Prague: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Villarreal: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75%
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.50
SLA 3 of 5 (60%) · VIL 4 of 5 (80%)68.3%
Slavia Prague: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Villarreal: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 65%
SLAVIA PRAGUE GOALS
Slavia Prague Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.30
SLA 4 of 5 (80%) · VIL 4 of 5 (80%)80%
Slavia Prague scored in 4 of 5 at home · Villarreal conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80%
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5BACKUPPAGE ONLY
1.17
SLA 4 of 5 (80%) · VIL 5 of 5 (100%)88.3%
Slavia Prague: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Villarreal: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.28
SLA 3 of 5 (60%) · VIL 4 of 5 (80%)70%
Slavia Prague: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Villarreal: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores
Left off the list: Slavia Prague or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Villarreal or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Villarreal or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Slavia Prague or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–28.6%
Slavia Prague goals →
Villarreal goals ↓
0-06%
1-07%
2-05%
3-03%
4-00.9%
5-00.3%
0-17%
1-112%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-26%
1-29%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-33%
1-34%
2-33%
3-32%
4-30.6%
5-30.2%
0-41%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.6%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.4%
1-50.5%
2-50.4%
3-50.2%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
SLAVIA PRAGUEWWWLDDDWWL1.80 PPG
VILLARREALWWLWDLWWLL1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
SLAVIA PRAGUE HOMExVILLARREAL AWAY
2.10SCORED A GAME1.900.90CONCEDED A GAME1.6040%CLEAN SHEETS20%7.30CORNERS A GAME5.901.20CARDS A GAME2.30
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.27POINTS A GAME1.09+1.55GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00+5.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.62.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.411LEAGUE GAMES11
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
96%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
92%
VERY GOOD · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
43%
NO · 85/90
SLAVIA PRAGUE OR DRAW
87%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
VILLARREAL OR DRAW
59%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
SLAVIA PRAGUExVILLARREAL
6GAMES61.83SCORED A GAME1.500.83CONCEDED A GAME1.332.7GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.883%OVER 1.5 GOALS67%67%OVER 2.5 GOALS67%67%BOTH SCORE67%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES6.3–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES12.8
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Slavia Prague have scored in 80% of their games.
Villarreal have scored in 60% of their games.
Slavia Prague kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Villarreal kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards