Match details. UEFA Champions League. Kick-off is Tue 24 Nov, 21:00 Lagos time.
Form. RB Leipzig have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W L. Lens have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L W.
The numbers. RB Leipzig score 3.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. RB Leipzig average 12.5 shots (6.1 on target), 4.9 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Lens score 1.5 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Lens average 12.1 shots (5.0 on target), 6.1 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
The case against. Lens's record still gives them 34% to win.
The read. RB Leipzig to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make RB Leipzig the likelier winners; RB Leipzig are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour RB Leipzig. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 80%.
The bets. Best bet: RB Leipzig 1UP at 1.23, 75% on the records (RB Leipzig scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4; led in 4 of 5 at home). The safer one: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.15 (78%). Leave: RB Leipzig or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Lens Under 1.5 goals (Lens's own games don't back it (3 of 6)). Predicted score: RB Leipzig 2-1 Lens (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
RB Leipzig or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
RBL 5 of 5 (100%) · LEN 6 of 6 (100%)100%
RB Leipzig: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Lens: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 100% · each game weighed by who it was against
RB Leipzig or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.10
RBL 4 of 5 (80%) · LEN 4 of 5 (80%)75.4%
RB Leipzig scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · Lens trailed or failed to win in 5 of 6 away · each game weighed by who it was against
RB Leipzig 1UPMAININ CODES
1.23
RBL 4 of 5 (80%) · LEN 4 of 5 (80%)75.4%
RB Leipzig scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 4 of 5 at home · Lens trailed in 5 of 6 away · each game weighed by who it was against
1X2 - 2UP: RB LeipzigLEANPAGE ONLY
1.43
RBL 4 of 5 (80%) · LEN 4 of 5 (80%)69.8%
RB Leipzig scored first 4 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 4 · led by 2 or won in 4 of 5 at home · Lens trailed by 2 or lost in 4 of 6 away · each game weighed by who it was against
RB Leipzig (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.19
RBL 4 of 5 (80%) · LEN 3 of 5 (60%)69.8%
RB Leipzig won 4 of 5 at home (draws left out) · Lens lost 3 of 5 away (draws left out) · both last 10: 57% · each game weighed by who it was against · won 7, refunded 1, lost 3
RB Leipzig to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.47
RBL 4 of 5 (80%) · LEN 3 of 6 (50%)52.7%
RB Leipzig won 4 of 5 at home · Lens lost 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 54% · each game weighed by who it was against
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsSAFERIN CODES
1.15
RBL 4 of 5 (80%) · LEN 5 of 6 (83%)78.5%
RB Leipzig: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Lens: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 90% · each game weighed by who it was against
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.50
RBL 4 of 5 (80%) · LEN 5 of 6 (83%)54.6%
RB Leipzig: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Lens: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 75% · each game weighed by who it was against
RB LEIPZIG GOALS
RB Leipzig Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.09
RBL 5 of 5 (100%) · LEN 6 of 6 (100%)83%
RB Leipzig scored in 5 of 5 at home · Lens conceded in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 95% · each game weighed by who it was against
RB Leipzig Over 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.46
RBL 4 of 5 (80%) · LEN 4 of 6 (67%)52.9%
RB Leipzig scored over 1.5 in 4 of 5 at home · Lens conceded over 1.5 in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 62% · each game weighed by who it was against
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.18
RBL 5 of 5 (100%) · LEN 6 of 6 (100%)100%
RB Leipzig: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Lens: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 100% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
2nd Half - RB Leipzig Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.36
RBL 5 of 5 (100%) · LEN 4 of 6 (67%)82.4%
RB Leipzig: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Lens: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 81% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Left off the list: RB Leipzig or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (73%) and the records (98%) are 25 points apart, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Lens Under 1.5 goals (Lens's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.8%
RB Leipzig goals →
Lens goals ↓
0-06%
1-09%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.8%
0-16%
1-112%
2-110%
3-16%
4-13%
5-10.9%
0-23%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.5%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.2%
0-40.3%
1-40.6%
2-40.5%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
RB LEIPZIGWLWWLLWWWL1.80 PPG
LENSWDLWLWLWLL1.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
RB LEIPZIG HOMExLENS AWAY
2.40SCORED A GAME1.401.60CONCEDED A GAME2.4050%CLEAN SHEETS0%4.90CORNERS A GAME6.101.70CARDS A GAME2.00
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.88POINTS A GAME1.44+1.38GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.33+2.6SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.71.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.88LEAGUE GAMES9
RB Leipzig: the quality side - a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
95%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
84%
VERY GOOD · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
48%
NO · 85/90
RB LEIPZIG OR DRAW
89%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
LENS OR DRAW
21%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
RB LEIPZIGxLENS
5GAMES52.60SCORED A GAME1.601.60CONCEDED A GAME1.204.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.8100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%20%BOTH SCORE80%2.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.211.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.0
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
RB Leipzig have scored in 90% of their games.
Lens have scored in 70% of their games.
RB Leipzig kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
Lens kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards