Napoli scored in 4 of 6 away · Man City conceded in 6 of 7 at home · both last 10: 80% · each game weighed by who it was against
· main loses on: 0-1, 0-2, 1-2, 0-3, 1-3, 0-4, 2-3, 1-4, 0-5, 2-4, 1-5, 0-6 and 43 more up to 10-10 | hedge wins on all of them
THE READ
Match details. UEFA Champions League. Kick-off is Tue 24 Nov, 21:00 Lagos time.
Form. Man City have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L W. Napoli have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D W.
The numbers. Man City score 3.1 and concede 1.9 a game in their last seven at home, with one clean sheet. Man City average 15.6 shots (6.0 on target), 5.6 corners and 1.2 cards a game. Napoli score 1.2 and concede two a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Napoli average 12.0 shots (5.7 on target), 5.2 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
The case against. Napoli's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. Man City to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Man City the likelier winners; Man City are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Man City. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.
The bets. Best bet: Man City or Draw at 1.10, 87% on the records (Man City unbeaten in 5 of 7 at home; Napoli failed to win 5 of 6 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.18. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Man City or draw and both teams score (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Man City 2-1 Napoli (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Man City or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MAN 6 of 7 (86%) · NAP 6 of 6 (100%)91.9%
Man City: the bet landed in 6 of 7 at home · Napoli: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 90% · each game weighed by who it was against
Double Chance: Man City or DrawMAININ CODES
1.10
MAN 5 of 7 (71%) · NAP 5 of 6 (83%)87.3%
Man City unbeaten in 5 of 7 at home · Napoli failed to win 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 64% · each game weighed by who it was against
Man City or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.15
MAN 6 of 7 (86%) · NAP 5 of 6 (83%)84.7%
Man City: the bet landed in 6 of 7 at home · Napoli: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 85% · each game weighed by who it was against
Man City (Draw No Bet)IN CODES
1.14
MAN 4 of 6 (67%) · NAP 4 of 5 (80%)84.2%
Man City won 4 of 6 at home (draws left out) · Napoli lost 4 of 5 away (draws left out) · both last 10: 58% · each game weighed by who it was against · won 8, refunded 2, lost 3
Man City to Win Either Half: YesPAGE ONLY
1.19
MAN 5 of 7 (71%) · NAP 5 of 6 (83%)73.1%
Man City: the bet landed in 5 of 7 at home · Napoli: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 64% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Man City or Draw & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
1.24
MAN 5 of 7 (71%) · NAP 4 of 6 (67%)65.9%
Man City: the bet landed in 5 of 7 at home · Napoli: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 60% · each game weighed by who it was against
1X2 - 2UP: Man CityLEANPAGE ONLY
1.35
MAN 2 of 5 (40%) · NAP 4 of 7 (57%)54.6%
Man City scored first 2 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 2 · led by 2 or won in 4 of 7 at home · Napoli trailed by 2 or lost in 4 of 6 away
Man City or draw and over 2.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.63
MAN 5 of 7 (71%) · NAP 2 of 6 (33%)51.5%
Man City: the bet landed in 5 of 7 at home · Napoli: the bet landed in 2 of 6 away · both last 10: 50% · each game weighed by who it was against
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.15
MAN 6 of 7 (86%) · NAP 5 of 6 (83%)81.4%
Man City: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7 at home · Napoli: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 85% · each game weighed by who it was against
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.50
MAN 6 of 7 (86%) · NAP 3 of 6 (50%)59%
Man City: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 7 at home · Napoli: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 75% · each game weighed by who it was against
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.81
MAN 5 of 7 (71%) · NAP 4 of 6 (67%)51.5%
Man City: both scored in 5 of 7 at home · Napoli: both scored in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 65% · each game weighed by who it was against
NAPOLI GOALS
Napoli Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.65
MAN 4 of 6 (67%) · NAP 6 of 7 (86%)57.3%
Napoli scored in 4 of 6 away · Man City conceded in 6 of 7 at home · both last 10: 80% · each game weighed by who it was against
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5BACKUPPAGE ONLY
1.18
MAN 6 of 7 (86%) · NAP 6 of 6 (100%)93.6%
Man City: the bet landed in 6 of 7 at home · Napoli: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 95% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
2nd Half - Man City Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.33
MAN 6 of 7 (86%) · NAP 5 of 6 (83%)83.1%
Man City: the bet landed in 6 of 7 at home · Napoli: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.26
MAN 7 of 7 (100%) · NAP 4 of 6 (67%)82.3%
Man City: the bet landed in 7 of 7 at home · Napoli: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Left off the list: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Man City or draw and both teams score (the numbers (45%) and the records (51%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.7%
Man City goals →
Napoli goals ↓
0-05%
1-010%
2-011%
3-08%
4-05%
5-02%
0-13%
1-19%
2-110%
3-17%
4-14%
5-12%
0-22%
1-24%
2-24%
3-23%
4-22%
5-20.7%
0-30.5%
1-31%
2-31%
3-30.9%
4-30.5%
5-30.2%
0-40.1%
1-40.2%
2-40.3%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.0%
2-50.0%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
MAN CITYWWWLWWLDLW1.90 PPG
NAPOLIWDWLLWDWLL1.40 PPG
THE NUMBERS
MAN CITY HOMExNAPOLI AWAY
2.90SCORED A GAME1.801.70CONCEDED A GAME1.8020%CLEAN SHEETS20%5.60CORNERS A GAME5.201.20CARDS A GAME1.90
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
2.33POINTS A GAME1.40+1.11GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.40+2.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.71.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.49LEAGUE GAMES10
Man City: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.
MAN CITY 2:0 HANDICAP
–
389 OF 413
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
90%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
87%
VERY GOOD · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
32%
NO · 85/90
MAN CITY OR DRAW
74%
NO · 80/85
NAPOLI OR DRAW
33%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
MAN CITYxNAPOLI
5GAMES62.20SCORED A GAME1.501.40CONCEDED A GAME1.333.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.860%OVER 1.5 GOALS83%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS33%60%BOTH SCORE50%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.2–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES11.4
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Man City have scored in 90% of their games.
Napoli have scored in 80% of their games.
Man City kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Napoli kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards