Match details. UEFA Champions League. Kick-off is Tue 24 Nov, 18:45 Lagos time.
Form. Galatasaray Istanbul have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. Aston Villa have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W W.
The numbers. Galatasaray Istanbul score 1.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Galatasaray Istanbul average 14.5 shots (5.9 on target), 7.2 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Aston Villa score 1.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Aston Villa average 15.0 shots (6.1 on target), 5.4 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Galatasaray Istanbul the likelier winners, but Aston Villa are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Galatasaray Istanbul.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.18, 82% on the records (Galatasaray Istanbul: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Aston Villa: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: Galatasaray Istanbul Over 0.5 Goals at 1.26. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Aston Villa or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Aston Villa or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: Galatasaray Istanbul 2-1 Aston Villa (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).