Match details. Copa DIMAYOR. Kick-off is Wed 11 Nov, 02:30 Lagos time.
Form. CD Once Caldas have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D W. Atletico Nacional have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W L.
The numbers. CD Once Caldas score one and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. CD Once Caldas average 14.1 shots (6.3 on target), 5.8 corners and 2.5 cards a game. Atletico Nacional score 1.9 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Atletico Nacional average 12.6 shots (6.1 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
The case against. CD Once Caldas's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. Atletico Nacional to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Atletico Nacional the likelier winners; Atletico Nacional are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 31%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Atletico Nacional or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Atletico Nacional Over 0.5 Goals (CD Once Caldas's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); CD Once Caldas Over 0.5 Goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: CD Once Caldas 0-1 Atletico Nacional (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Atletico Nacional or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.30
CDO 4 of 5 (80%) · ATL 8 of 9 (89%)69.6%
Atletico Nacional scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Once Caldas trailed or failed to win in 2 of 5 at home · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at CD Once Caldas's level · CD Once Caldas: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level
Atletico Nacional win or both teams scoreLEANPAGE ONLY
1.28
CDO 7 of 9 (78%) · ATL 2 of 5 (40%)61.5%
Atletico Nacional: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Once Caldas: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · both last 10: 67% · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at CD Once Caldas's level · CD Once Caldas: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level
Atletico Nacional 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
1.73
CDO 4 of 5 (80%) · ATL 6 of 9 (67%)55.6%
Atletico Nacional scored first 3 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Once Caldas trailed in 1 of 5 at home · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at CD Once Caldas's level · CD Once Caldas: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDO 5 of 5 (100%) · ATL 9 of 9 (100%)100%
CD Once Caldas: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Atletico Nacional: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · CD Once Caldas: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at CD Once Caldas's level
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.10
CDO 5 of 5 (100%) · ATL 8 of 9 (89%)94.4%
CD Once Caldas: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Atletico Nacional: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · CD Once Caldas: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at CD Once Caldas's level
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.31
CDO 4 of 5 (80%) · ATL 7 of 9 (78%)80.4%
CD Once Caldas: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Atletico Nacional: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · CD Once Caldas: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at CD Once Caldas's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDO 5 of 5 (100%) · ATL 7 of 9 (78%)87%
CD Once Caldas's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 5 at home · Atletico Nacional's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · CD Once Caldas: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at CD Once Caldas's level
Left off the list: Atletico Nacional or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Atletico Nacional Over 0.5 Goals (CD Once Caldas's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); CD Once Caldas Over 0.5 Goals (the numbers (61%) and the records (82%) are 21 points apart, and nothing settles it); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–112.7%
CD Once Caldas goals →
Atletico Nacional goals ↓
0-010%
1-08%
2-04%
3-01%
4-00.3%
5-00.1%
0-113%
1-113%
2-16%
3-12%
4-10.4%
5-10.1%
0-29%
1-29%
2-24%
3-21%
4-20.3%
5-20.1%
0-34%
1-34%
2-32%
3-30.6%
4-30.1%
5-30.0%
0-42%
1-41%
2-40.7%
3-40.2%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.4%
1-50.4%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
CD ONCE CALDASWLLDWWDDWW1.80 PPG
ATLETICO NACIONALDWDWWLWWWD2.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CD ONCE CALDAS HOMExATLETICO NACIONAL AWAY
1.10SCORED A GAME1.900.70CONCEDED A GAME0.8050%CLEAN SHEETS30%5.80CORNERS A GAME4.502.50CARDS A GAME2.80
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.69POINTS A GAME2.06+0.46GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.00+5.9SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+4.82.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.013LEAGUE GAMES16
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
77%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
36%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
85%
NO · 85/90
CD ONCE CALDAS OR DRAW
48%
NO · 80/85
ATLETICO NACIONAL OR DRAW
57%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (13 and 16 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CD ONCE CALDASxATLETICO NACIONAL
8GAMES81.38SCORED A GAME1.881.00CONCEDED A GAME1.252.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.150%OVER 1.5 GOALS75%38%OVER 2.5 GOALS50%50%BOTH SCORE62%5.7CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.39.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.7
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
CD Once Caldas have scored in 90% of their games.
Atletico Nacional have scored in 80% of their games.
CD Once Caldas kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
Atletico Nacional kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards