Match details. Primera Division, Clausura - Quadrangular - 5. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 22:30 Lagos time. It is played at Monumental de Maturín, Maturin.
What's at stake. Monagas SC are 4th on 3 points after 4 games. Deportivo Tachira are 1st on 12 points after 4 games, 7 points clear of Deportivo La Guaira.
Form. Monagas SC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L D. In this competition Monagas SC have gone L W L L D W. Deportivo Tachira have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D. In this competition Deportivo Tachira have gone W W W W D W.
The numbers. Monagas SC score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Monagas SC average 10.1 shots (4.2 on target), 4.0 corners and 3.3 cards a game. Deportivo Tachira score 1.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Deportivo Tachira average 12.3 shots (5.4 on target), 4.7 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Monagas SC have won two, drawn one and lost six. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Monagas SC won one and Deportivo Tachira won three. The last time they met, on 27 Oct 2026, it finished Monagas SC 0-2 Deportivo Tachira.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Monagas SC's record still gives them 30% to win.
The read. Deportivo Tachira to win. Their goals for and against make Deportivo Tachira the likelier winners; Deportivo Tachira are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Deportivo Tachira; the meetings favour Deportivo Tachira.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Deportivo Tachira at 1.26, 77% on the records (Deportivo Tachira unbeaten in 4 of 5 away; Monagas SC failed to win 3 of 5 at home). Predicted score: Monagas SC 0-1 Deportivo Tachira (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).