Match details. CONMEBOL Libertadores. Kick-off is Sat 28 Nov, 21:00 Lagos time.
Form. SE Palmeiras SP have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L W. Estudiantes de La Plata have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L D.
The numbers. SE Palmeiras SP score 1.6 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. SE Palmeiras SP average 15.6 shots (5.7 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Estudiantes de La Plata score 0.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Estudiantes de La Plata average 12.1 shots (4.3 on target), 5.1 corners and 3.4 cards a game.
The read. SE Palmeiras SP to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make SE Palmeiras SP the likelier winners; SE Palmeiras SP are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour SE Palmeiras SP. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.
The bets. Best bet: SE Palmeiras SP or Draw at 1.20, 88% on the records (SE Palmeiras SP unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; Estudiantes de La Plata failed to win 5 of 5 away). Backup: SE Palmeiras SP or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.10. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: SE Palmeiras SP or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); SE Palmeiras SP or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: SE Palmeiras SP 1-0 Estudiantes de La Plata (14% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Double Chance: SE Palmeiras SP or DrawMAININ CODES
1.20
SEP 4 of 5 (80%) · EST 5 of 5 (100%)88.3%
SE Palmeiras SP unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · Estudiantes de La Plata failed to win 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%
SE Palmeiras SP or Under 2.5 GoalsBACKUPPAGE ONLY
1.10
SEP 5 of 5 (100%) · EST 4 of 5 (80%)86.7%
SE Palmeiras SP: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Estudiantes de La Plata: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80%
SE Palmeiras SP or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.16
SEP 4 of 5 (80%) · EST 4 of 5 (80%)86.7%
SE Palmeiras SP scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · Estudiantes de La Plata trailed or failed to win in 5 of 5 away
SE Palmeiras SP (Draw No Bet)IN CODES
1.36
SEP 4 of 5 (80%) · EST 5 of 6 (83%)80.8%
SE Palmeiras SP won 4 of 5 at home (draws left out) · Estudiantes de La Plata lost 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 79% · won 7, refunded 2, lost 1
SE Palmeiras SP 1UPIN CODES
1.53
SEP 4 of 5 (80%) · EST 4 of 5 (80%)80%
SE Palmeiras SP scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 4 of 5 at home · Estudiantes de La Plata trailed in 4 of 5 away
SE Palmeiras SP or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES
1.27
SEP 4 of 5 (80%) · EST 4 of 5 (80%)76.7%
SE Palmeiras SP: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Estudiantes de La Plata: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70%
1X2 - 2UP: SE Palmeiras SPIN CODES
1.84
SEP 4 of 5 (80%) · EST 4 of 5 (80%)73.3%
SE Palmeiras SP scored first 4 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 4 · led by 2 or won in 4 of 5 at home · Estudiantes de La Plata trailed by 2 or lost in 3 of 5 away
SE Palmeiras SP to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.92
SEP 4 of 5 (80%) · EST 3 of 5 (60%)65%
SE Palmeiras SP won 4 of 5 at home · Estudiantes de La Plata lost 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 55%
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SEP 5 of 5 (100%) · EST 5 of 5 (100%)98.3%
SE Palmeiras SP: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Estudiantes de La Plata: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95%
SE PALMEIRAS SP GOALS
SE Palmeiras SP Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.27
SEP 4 of 5 (80%) · EST 4 of 5 (80%)76.7%
SE Palmeiras SP scored in 4 of 5 at home · Estudiantes de La Plata conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70%
ESTUDIANTES DE LA PLATA GOALS
Estudiantes de La Plata Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES
1.17
SEP 4 of 5 (80%) · EST 5 of 5 (100%)86.7%
Estudiantes de La Plata scored under 1.5 in 4 of 5 away · SE Palmeiras SP conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80%
HALVES
Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.29
SEP 4 of 5 (80%) · EST 4 of 5 (80%)76.7%
SE Palmeiras SP: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Estudiantes de La Plata: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores
CARDS
Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SEP 5 of 5 (100%) · EST 3 of 5 (60%)83.3%
SE Palmeiras SP's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 5 at home · Estudiantes de La Plata's games: over 2.5 cards in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 90%
Left off the list: SE Palmeiras SP or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); SE Palmeiras SP or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–013.6%
SE Palmeiras SP goals →
Estudiantes de La… goals ↓
0-010%
1-014%
2-011%
3-06%
4-02%
5-00.7%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-23%
1-25%
2-24%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-30.9%
1-31%
2-31%
3-30.5%
4-30.2%
5-30.1%
0-40.2%
1-40.3%
2-40.2%
3-40.1%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.0%
2-50.0%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
SE PALMEIRAS SPLDWWWWLWDW2.00 PPG
ESTUDIANTES DE LA PLATALLLWDDLDLD0.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
SE PALMEIRAS SP HOMExESTUDIANTES DE LA PLATA AWAY
1.40SCORED A GAME1.200.60CONCEDED A GAME1.6060%CLEAN SHEETS30%5.20CORNERS A GAME5.102.70CARDS A GAME3.40
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.33POINTS A GAME1.00+1.83GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.08+9.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.32.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.06LEAGUE GAMES12
SE Palmeiras SP: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
SE PALMEIRAS SP 2:0 HANDICAP
–
389 OF 413
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
30%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
25%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
98%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
SE PALMEIRAS SP OR DRAW
96%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
ESTUDIANTES DE LA PLATA OR DRAW
12%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
SE PALMEIRAS SPxESTUDIANTES DE LA PLATA
5GAMES52.60SCORED A GAME2.000.40CONCEDED A GAME2.003.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.060%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS100%40%BOTH SCORE80%5.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–10.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
SE Palmeiras SP have scored in 70% of their games.
Estudiantes de La Plata have scored in 70% of their games.
SE Palmeiras SP kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.
Estudiantes de La Plata kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards