Match details. Liga Nacional, Apertura - 13. Kick-off is Fri 6 Nov, 02:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Yankel Rosenthal, San Pedro Sula.
What's at stake. CD Marathon San Pedro Sula are 4th on 22 points after 12 games, 5 points behind Real Espana, 5 points clear of Olancho. Platense FC Puerto Cortes are 11th on 8 points after 12 games, 3 points behind Atletico Independiente, 2 points clear of Juticalpa. A win would take them level on points with Atletico Independiente.
Form. CD Marathon San Pedro Sula have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W D L. In this competition CD Marathon San Pedro Sula have gone L D W D L W. Platense FC Puerto Cortes have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L. In this competition Platense FC Puerto Cortes have gone L L L W L D.
The numbers. CD Marathon San Pedro Sula score 1.6 and concede one a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. CD Marathon San Pedro Sula average 5.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Platense FC Puerto Cortes score 1.2 and concede 3.2 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Platense FC Puerto Cortes average 3.9 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings CD Marathon San Pedro Sula have won three, drawn five and lost two. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, three were drawn and Platense FC Puerto Cortes won one. The last time they met, on 8 Aug 2026, it finished CD Marathon San Pedro Sula 1-1 Platense FC Puerto Cortes.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 80% against the records' 57%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%; six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No firm call: CD Marathon San Pedro Sula are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make CD Marathon San Pedro Sula the likelier winners; CD Marathon San Pedro Sula are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Marathon San Pedro Sula. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.20, 77% on the records (CD Marathon San Pedro Sula: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10; Platense FC Puerto Cortes: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 away). Full cover: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.19. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Predicted score: CD Marathon San Pedro Sula 2-1 Platense FC Puerto Cortes (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).