Match details. Liga Nacional, Apertura - 13. Kick-off is Fri 6 Nov, 00:15 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Ruben Deras.
What's at stake. CD Choloma are 8th on 13 points after 12 games, 2 points behind Lobos Upnfm, 2 points clear of Génesis. A win would take them above Lobos Upnfm. CA Independiente Siguatepeque are 10th on 11 points after 12 games, level on points with Génesis, 3 points clear of Platense FC. A win would take them above Génesis.
Form. CD Choloma have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L W. In this competition CD Choloma have gone L W W L W L. CA Independiente Siguatepeque have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D L. In this competition CA Independiente Siguatepeque have gone L D L D L W.
The numbers. CD Choloma score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. CD Choloma average 4.8 corners and 3.4 cards a game. CA Independiente Siguatepeque score 0.8 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. CA Independiente Siguatepeque average 3.7 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 10 Aug 2026, it finished CD Choloma 1-2 CA Independiente Siguatepeque.
The case against. CA Independiente Siguatepeque's record still gives them 21% to win.
The read. CD Choloma to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CD Choloma the likelier winners; CD Choloma are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Choloma. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%.
The bets. Best bet: CD Choloma or Draw at 1.34, 73% on the records (CD Choloma unbeaten in 4 of 6 at home; CA Independiente Siguatepeque failed to win 5 of 5 away). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.15. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: CD Choloma or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); CD Choloma Over 0.5 goals (CD Choloma's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); CA Independiente Siguatepeque Over 0.5 goals (CD Choloma's own games don't back it (3 of 6)). Predicted score: CD Choloma 1-0 CA Independiente Siguatepeque (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).