Match details. Il1. Kick-off is Thu 5 Nov, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. Hapoel Raanana have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L L. Maccabi Tel Aviv WFC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W D.
The numbers. Hapoel Raanana score 2.2 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Hapoel Raanana average 13.7 shots (9.7 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 43% of the ball. Maccabi Tel Aviv WFC score two and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Maccabi Tel Aviv WFC average 14.6 shots (6.6 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 57% of the ball.
The case against. Maccabi Tel Aviv WFC's record still gives them 31% to win.
The read. Hapoel Raanana to win. An open game. Hapoel Raanana are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Hapoel Raanana. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Hapoel Raanana 2-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv WFC (9% chance).
The agreed story. Hapoel Raanana or the draw, an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).