JSM Skikda vs Nrb Teleghma
Match details. Ligue 2, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Fri 6 Nov, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. JSM Skikda are 6th on 12 points after 7 games, 1 point behind MO Bejaia, level on points with Khroub. A win would take them above MO Bejaia. Nrb Teleghma are 13th on 9 points after 8 games, 1 point behind MO Constantine, 5 points clear of IRB Nezla. A win would take them above MO Constantine.
Form. JSM Skikda have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W W. Nrb Teleghma have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W D.
The numbers. JSM Skikda score 1.3 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. JSM Skikda average 10.4 shots (4.2 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Nrb Teleghma score 1.2 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. Nrb Teleghma average 6.7 shots (3.1 on target), 2.6 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last four meetings JSM Skikda have won one, drawn none and lost three. Four of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. The last time they met, on 18 Feb 2023, it finished JSM Skikda 0-3 Nrb Teleghma.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 72% against the records' 50%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%; four of the last four meetings went over 2.5.
The read. No firm call: JSM Skikda are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make JSM Skikda the likelier winners; JSM Skikda are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour JSM Skikda.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Nrb Teleghma Over 0.5 Goals (JSM Skikda's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Nrb Teleghma or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs JSM Skikda). Predicted score: JSM Skikda 1-1 Nrb Teleghma (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).