Match details. Ligue 2. Kick-off is Fri 6 Nov, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. CR Beni Thour have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L. NC Magra have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L D.
The numbers. CR Beni Thour score 0.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. CR Beni Thour average 7.3 shots (3.3 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game. NC Magra score 0.8 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. NC Magra average 8.4 shots (3.6 on target), 4.3 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%.
The case against. CR Beni Thour's record still gives them 37% to win.
The read. NC Magra to win. NC Magra are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour NC Magra.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Cards (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: CR Beni Thour 0-1 NC Magra (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).