Match details. Torneo DIMAYOR. Kick-off is Fri 6 Nov, 01:00 Lagos time.
Form. Union Magdalena have won three, drawn seven and lost none of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W D. Independiente Valle Del Cauca have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W D.
The numbers. Union Magdalena score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Union Magdalena average 8.9 shots (3.5 on target), 3.2 corners and 1.6 cards a game. Independiente Valle Del Cauca score 0.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Independiente Valle Del Cauca average 7.0 shots (3.2 on target), 3.2 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
The case against. Independiente Valle Del Cauca's record still gives them 20% to win.
The read. Union Magdalena to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Union Magdalena the likelier winners; Union Magdalena are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 15%.
The bets. Best bet: Union Magdalena or Draw at 1.29, 75% on the records (Union Magdalena unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home; Independiente Valle Del Cauca failed to win 3 of 5 away). Leave: Union Magdalena or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Union Magdalena 1-0 Independiente Valle Del Cauca (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).