Match details. FAI Cup. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Waterford FC have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W. Derry City FC have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L W.
The numbers. Waterford FC score 2.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Waterford FC average 9.8 shots (4.6 on target), 5.9 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Derry City FC score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Derry City FC average 12.0 shots (4.5 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
The case against. Derry City FC's record still gives them 38% to win.
The read. Waterford FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Waterford FC the likelier winners; Waterford FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Derry City FC or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Waterford FC); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Waterford FC 2-1 Derry City FC (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Waterford FC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
WAT 8 of 8 (100%) · DER 5 of 8 (62%)81.3%
Waterford FC: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Derry City FC: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Waterford FC: only games against sides at Derry City FC's level · Derry City FC: only games against sides at Waterford FC's level
Waterford FC or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
WAT 7 of 8 (88%) · DER 5 of 8 (62%)75%
Waterford FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Derry City FC: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Waterford FC: only games against sides at Derry City FC's level · Derry City FC: only games against sides at Waterford FC's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
WAT 8 of 8 (100%) · DER 8 of 8 (100%)100%
Waterford FC: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Derry City FC: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Waterford FC: only games against sides at Derry City FC's level · Derry City FC: only games against sides at Waterford FC's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
WAT 8 of 8 (100%) · DER 5 of 8 (62%)81.3%
Waterford FC: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Derry City FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Waterford FC: only games against sides at Derry City FC's level · Derry City FC: only games against sides at Waterford FC's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
WAT 6 of 8 (75%) · DER 4 of 8 (50%)62.5%
Waterford FC: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Derry City FC: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · Waterford FC: only games against sides at Derry City FC's level · Derry City FC: only games against sides at Waterford FC's level
DERRY CITY FC GOALS
Derry City FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
WAT 7 of 8 (88%) · DER 7 of 8 (88%)87.5%
Derry City FC scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Waterford FC conceded in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Derry City FC: only games against sides at Waterford FC's level · Waterford FC: only games against sides at Derry City FC's level
HALVES
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
WAT 7 of 8 (88%) · DER 6 of 8 (75%)81.3%
Waterford FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Derry City FC: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · on half-time scores · Waterford FC: only games against sides at Derry City FC's level · Derry City FC: only games against sides at Waterford FC's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
WAT 5 of 8 (62%) · DER 7 of 8 (88%)75%
Waterford FC's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Derry City FC's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Waterford FC: only games against sides at Derry City FC's level · Derry City FC: only games against sides at Waterford FC's level
Left off the list: Derry City FC or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Waterford FC); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Derry City FC or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Waterford FC)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.3%
Waterford FC goals →
Derry City FC goals ↓
0-06%
1-08%
2-07%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.6%
0-16%
1-112%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.7%
0-24%
1-27%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.5%
0-32%
1-33%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.6%
5-30.2%
0-40.6%
1-41%
2-40.9%
3-40.5%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
WATERFORD FCWWDDLWLWWW2.00 PPG
DERRY CITY FCDWWDWWLWWD2.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
WATERFORD FC HOMExDERRY CITY FC AWAY
2.20SCORED A GAME1.801.30CONCEDED A GAME1.2030%CLEAN SHEETS40%5.90CORNERS A GAME4.801.70CARDS A GAME2.50
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.83POINTS A GAME1.64+0.58GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00+2.3SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.11.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.012LEAGUE GAMES11
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
70%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
62%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
65%
NO · 85/90
WATERFORD FC OR DRAW
91%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
DERRY CITY FC OR DRAW
44%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
WATERFORD FCxDERRY CITY FC
6GAMES52.17SCORED A GAME1.601.17CONCEDED A GAME2.203.3GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.883%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%67%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%83%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Waterford FC have scored in 100% of their games.
Derry City FC have scored in 90% of their games.
Waterford FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Derry City FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards