Merthyr Town vs Hebburn Town
Match details. National League North. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Merthyr Town have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D D. Hebburn Town have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L D.
The numbers. Merthyr Town score 0.9 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Merthyr Town average 6.4 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Hebburn Town score 0.9 and concede 2.3 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Hebburn Town average 5.0 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Merthyr Town the likelier winners, but Hebburn Town are the stronger side on form and the table. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 27% against the records' 47%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Merthyr Town 1-1 Hebburn Town (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).