Match details. Mocambola. Kick-off is Wed 4 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. AD Pemba have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W L. Black Bulls FC have won seven, drawn three and lost none of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D W.
The numbers. AD Pemba score 0.7 and concede 0.6 a game in their last seven at home, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. AD Pemba average 3.2 corners and 2.8 cards a game. Black Bulls FC score 1.4 and concede none a game in their last five away, with five clean sheets. Black Bulls FC average 6.8 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
The case against. AD Pemba's record still gives them 26% to win.
The read. Black Bulls FC to win. A tight game. Black Bulls FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Black Bulls FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 25%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Black Bulls FC Over 0.5 Goals (AD Pemba's own games don't back it (3 of 7)); Black Bulls FC to Win (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: AD Pemba 0-1 Black Bulls FC (18% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Black Bulls FC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADP 5 of 6 (83%) · BLA 7 of 7 (100%)91.7%
Black Bulls FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · AD Pemba: the bet landed in 7 of 7 at home · both last 10: 92% · Black Bulls FC: only games against sides at AD Pemba's level · AD Pemba: only games against sides at Black Bulls FC's level
Black Bulls FC (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.23
ADP 5 of 5 (100%) · BLA 3 of 7 (43%)69%
Black Bulls FC won 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · AD Pemba lost 3 of 7 at home (draws left out) · both last 10: 78% · Black Bulls FC: only games against sides at AD Pemba's level · AD Pemba: only games against sides at Black Bulls FC's level · won 8, refunded 0, lost 4
Double Chance: Draw or Black Bulls FCLEANPAGE ONLY
1.14
ADP 6 of 6 (100%) · BLA 3 of 7 (43%)69%
Black Bulls FC unbeaten in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · AD Pemba failed to win 3 of 7 at home · both last 10: 80% · Black Bulls FC: only games against sides at AD Pemba's level · AD Pemba: only games against sides at Black Bulls FC's level
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADP 7 of 7 (100%) · BLA 6 of 6 (100%)100%
AD Pemba: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 at home · Black Bulls FC: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · AD Pemba: only games against sides at Black Bulls FC's level · Black Bulls FC: only games against sides at AD Pemba's level
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADP 7 of 7 (100%) · BLA 6 of 6 (100%)100%
AD Pemba: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 at home · Black Bulls FC: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · AD Pemba: only games against sides at Black Bulls FC's level · Black Bulls FC: only games against sides at AD Pemba's level
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADP 7 of 7 (100%) · BLA 4 of 6 (67%)83.3%
AD Pemba: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 7 at home · Black Bulls FC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · AD Pemba: only games against sides at Black Bulls FC's level · Black Bulls FC: only games against sides at AD Pemba's level
Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADP 7 of 7 (100%) · BLA 3 of 6 (50%)75%
AD Pemba: under 2.5 goals in 7 of 7 at home · Black Bulls FC: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · AD Pemba: only games against sides at Black Bulls FC's level · Black Bulls FC: only games against sides at AD Pemba's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - NoPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADP 7 of 7 (100%) · BLA 3 of 6 (50%)75%
AD Pemba: not both scored in 7 of 7 at home · Black Bulls FC: not both scored in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · AD Pemba: only games against sides at Black Bulls FC's level · Black Bulls FC: only games against sides at AD Pemba's level
Left off the list: Black Bulls FC Over 0.5 Goals (AD Pemba's own games don't back it (3 of 7)); Black Bulls FC to Win (the numbers (42%) and the records (64%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–118.5%
AD Pemba goals →
Black Bulls FC goals ↓
0-020%
1-012%
2-04%
3-00.9%
4-00.1%
5-00.0%
0-118%
1-113%
2-14%
3-10.9%
4-10.1%
5-10.0%
0-210%
1-26%
2-22%
3-20.4%
4-20.1%
5-20.0%
0-33%
1-32%
2-30.7%
3-30.1%
4-30.0%
5-30.0%
0-40.8%
1-40.5%
2-40.2%
3-40.0%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.1%
2-50.0%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
AD PEMBALDLWLLWWWL1.30 PPG
BLACK BULLS FCWDWDWWDWWW2.40 PPG
THE NUMBERS
AD PEMBA HOMExBLACK BULLS FC AWAY
0.53SCORED A GAME1.480.95CONCEDED A GAME0.520%BOTH SCORED40%50%CLEAN SHEETS60%3.25CORNERS A GAME6.812.75CARDS A GAME1.63
TRENDS
AD Pemba have scored in 40% of their games.
Black Bulls FC have scored in 90% of their games.
AD Pemba kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
Black Bulls FC kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards