Match details. Primera Division. Kick-off is Wed 4 Nov, 22:08 Lagos time.
Form. Deportivo Coatepeque have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D W. Nueva Santa Rosa Cdf have won nine, drawn one and lost none of their last ten, 2.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W.
The numbers. Deportivo Coatepeque score 0.8 and concede 0.5 a game in their last six at home, with four clean sheets. Deportivo Coatepeque average 6.1 corners and 2.8 cards a game. Nueva Santa Rosa Cdf score 1.4 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. Nueva Santa Rosa Cdf average 5.0 corners and 4.1 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 20% against the records' 58%.
The read. No firm call: Nueva Santa Rosa Cdf are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Nueva Santa Rosa Cdf are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Nueva Santa Rosa Cdf. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 22%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Deportivo Coatepeque 0-0 Nueva Santa Rosa Cdf (17% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Nueva Santa Rosa Cdf the favourite), a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).