Match details. DFB Pokal. Kick-off is Tue 1 Dec, 18:00 Lagos time.
Form. Stuttgart have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L D. Dynamo Dresden have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W D.
The numbers. Stuttgart score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Stuttgart average 13.8 shots (5.2 on target), 6.3 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Dynamo Dresden score 2.2 and concede 2.2 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. Dynamo Dresden average 10.1 shots (4.3 on target), 6.7 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Stuttgart or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Stuttgart or Both Teams Score (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Stuttgart 2-1 Dynamo Dresden (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
STU 10 of 10 (100%) · DYN 6 of 6 (100%)100%
Stuttgart: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Dynamo Dresden: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 100%
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
STU 7 of 10 (70%) · DYN 6 of 6 (100%)85%
Stuttgart: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Dynamo Dresden: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 85%
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
STU 4 of 10 (40%) · DYN 5 of 6 (83%)59.4%
Stuttgart: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Dynamo Dresden: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 55%
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
STU 4 of 10 (40%) · DYN 4 of 6 (67%)52.2%
Stuttgart: both scored in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Dynamo Dresden: both scored in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 50%
STUTTGART GOALS
Stuttgart Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
STU 7 of 10 (70%) · DYN 5 of 6 (83%)74.4%
Stuttgart scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Dynamo Dresden conceded in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 70%
DYNAMO DRESDEN GOALS
Dynamo Dresden Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
STU 5 of 6 (83%) · DYN 7 of 10 (70%)77.8%
Dynamo Dresden scored in 5 of 6 away · Stuttgart conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%
HALVES
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
STU 7 of 10 (70%) · DYN 6 of 6 (100%)83.3%
Stuttgart: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Dynamo Dresden: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores
Left off the list: Stuttgart or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Stuttgart or Both Teams Score (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Stuttgart Over 1.5 Goals (Stuttgart's own games don't back it (4 of 10)); Stuttgart or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–18.6%
Stuttgart goals →
Dynamo Dresden goals ↓
0-04%
1-06%
2-05%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.5%
0-15%
1-110%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.7%
0-25%
1-28%
2-27%
3-24%
4-22%
5-20.6%
0-32%
1-34%
2-34%
3-32%
4-30.9%
5-30.3%
0-41.0%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.8%
4-40.4%
5-40.1%
0-50.3%
1-50.5%
2-50.5%
3-50.3%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
STUTTGARTLLWWLDLWWL1.30 PPG
DYNAMO DRESDENWLLDLDWLWL1.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
STUTTGART HOMExDYNAMO DRESDEN AWAY
1.40SCORED A GAME1.901.20CONCEDED A GAME1.7030%CLEAN SHEETS30%6.30CORNERS A GAME6.701.90CARDS A GAME2.10
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.33POINTS A GAME0.80+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.80-1.6SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-4.81.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.89LEAGUE GAMES10
Stuttgart: the quality side - a top-five league club v a smaller league, better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
86%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
70%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
72%
NO · 85/90
STUTTGART OR DRAW
84%
OKAY · 80/85
DYNAMO DRESDEN OR DRAW
40%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
STUTTGARTxDYNAMO DRESDEN
5GAMES52.20SCORED A GAME1.001.60CONCEDED A GAME1.603.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.6–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.4
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Stuttgart have scored in 70% of their games.
Dynamo Dresden have scored in 90% of their games.
Stuttgart kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Dynamo Dresden kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards