GERMANY - DFB POKAL
20:45Wed 2 Dec
BOR
BD
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Dortmund
CLASS A
THE READ
Match details. DFB Pokal. Kick-off is Wed 2 Dec, 20:45 Lagos time.
Form. Eintracht Frankfurt have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W L. Borussia Dortmund have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W D.
The numbers. Eintracht Frankfurt score 2.7 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Eintracht Frankfurt average 12.6 shots (7.0 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Borussia Dortmund score one and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Borussia Dortmund average 13.3 shots (5.5 on target), 6.9 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
The read. Borussia Dortmund to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Borussia Dortmund the likelier winners; Borussia Dortmund are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Eintracht Frankfurt Over 0.5 Goals (Borussia Dortmund's own games don't back it (2 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Eintracht Frankfurt 1-2 Borussia Dortmund (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Borussia Dortmund or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
EIN 5 of 5 (100%) · BOR 6 of 6 (100%)87.5%
Borussia Dortmund scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Eintracht Frankfurt trailed or failed to win in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Borussia Dortmund: only games against sides at Eintracht Frankfurt's level · Eintracht Frankfurt: only games against sides at Borussia Dortmund's level
Borussia Dortmund or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
EIN 5 of 6 (83%) · BOR 7 of 8 (88%)85.4%
Borussia Dortmund: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Eintracht Frankfurt: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Borussia Dortmund: only games against sides at Eintracht Frankfurt's level · Eintracht Frankfurt: only games against sides at Borussia Dortmund's level
Borussia Dortmund or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
EIN 5 of 6 (83%) · BOR 7 of 8 (88%)85.4%
Borussia Dortmund: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Eintracht Frankfurt: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Borussia Dortmund: only games against sides at Eintracht Frankfurt's level · Eintracht Frankfurt: only games against sides at Borussia Dortmund's level
Borussia Dortmund (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
EIN 6 of 7 (86%) · BOR 3 of 6 (50%)65%
Borussia Dortmund won 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Eintracht Frankfurt lost 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 67% · Eintracht Frankfurt: only games against sides at Borussia Dortmund's level · each game weighed by who it was against · won 3, refunded 3, lost 3
Borussia Dortmund 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
EIN 3 of 5 (60%) · BOR 4 of 6 (67%)58.9%
Borussia Dortmund scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Eintracht Frankfurt trailed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Borussia Dortmund: only games against sides at Eintracht Frankfurt's level · Eintracht Frankfurt: only games against sides at Borussia Dortmund's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
EIN 8 of 8 (100%) · BOR 5 of 6 (83%)92.6%
Eintracht Frankfurt: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Borussia Dortmund: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · Eintracht Frankfurt: only games against sides at Borussia Dortmund's level · Borussia Dortmund: only games against sides at Eintracht Frankfurt's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
EIN 6 of 8 (75%) · BOR 3 of 6 (50%)75.7%
Eintracht Frankfurt: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Borussia Dortmund: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · Eintracht Frankfurt: only games against sides at Borussia Dortmund's level · Borussia Dortmund: only games against sides at Eintracht Frankfurt's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
EIN 6 of 8 (75%) · BOR 3 of 6 (50%)50.5%
Eintracht Frankfurt: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Borussia Dortmund: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · Eintracht Frankfurt: only games against sides at Borussia Dortmund's level · Borussia Dortmund: only games against sides at Eintracht Frankfurt's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
EIN 5 of 8 (62%) · BOR 2 of 6 (33%)53.9%
Eintracht Frankfurt: both scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Borussia Dortmund: both scored in 2 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 48% · Eintracht Frankfurt: only games against sides at Borussia Dortmund's level · Borussia Dortmund: only games against sides at Eintracht Frankfurt's level
BORUSSIA DORTMUND GOALS
Borussia Dortmund Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
EIN 5 of 6 (83%) · BOR 7 of 8 (88%)79.6%
Borussia Dortmund scored in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Eintracht Frankfurt conceded in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Borussia Dortmund: only games against sides at Eintracht Frankfurt's level · Eintracht Frankfurt: only games against sides at Borussia Dortmund's level
HALVES
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
EIN 6 of 8 (75%) · BOR 2 of 6 (33%)54.2%
Eintracht Frankfurt: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Borussia Dortmund: the bet landed in 2 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 54% · on half-time scores · Eintracht Frankfurt: only games against sides at Borussia Dortmund's level · Borussia Dortmund: only games against sides at Eintracht Frankfurt's level
CARDS
Over 1.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
EIN 8 of 8 (100%) · BOR 6 of 6 (100%)100%
Eintracht Frankfurt's games: over 1.5 cards in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Borussia Dortmund's games: over 1.5 cards in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Eintracht Frankfurt: only games against sides at Borussia Dortmund's level · Borussia Dortmund: only games against sides at Eintracht Frankfurt's level
Left off the list: Eintracht Frankfurt Over 0.5 Goals (Borussia Dortmund's own games don't back it (2 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–2 9.4%
Eintracht Frankfurt goals →
Borussia Dortmund goals ↓
0-07%
1-07%
2-04%
3-02%
4-00.4%
5-00.1%
0-110%
1-113%
2-17%
3-12%
4-10.7%
5-10.1%
0-29%
1-29%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.5%
5-20.1%
0-35%
1-35%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-42%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.6%
1-50.6%
2-50.3%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
EINTRACHT FRANKFURTWDLWDLWLWW1.70 PPG
BORUSSIA DORTMUNDWWWDLDWWWD2.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
EINTRACHT FRANKFURT HOMExBORUSSIA DORTMUND AWAY
2.70SCORED A GAME1.701.90CONCEDED A GAME1.0020%CLEAN SHEETS40%5.00CORNERS A GAME6.902.30CARDS A GAME1.70
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.22POINTS A GAME2.11-0.67GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.89+0.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.81.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.89LEAGUE GAMES9
Borussia Dortmund: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
68%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
59%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
82%
NO · 85/90
EINTRACHT FRANKFURT OR DRAW
63%
NO · 80/85
BORUSSIA DORTMUND OR DRAW
75%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
EINTRACHT FRANKFURTxBORUSSIA DORTMUND
5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.202.00CONCEDED A GAME0.803.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.060%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%40%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.2–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.8
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Eintracht Frankfurt have scored in 80% of their games.
Borussia Dortmund have scored in 80% of their games.
Eintracht Frankfurt kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Borussia Dortmund kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards