Borussia M´gladbach vs Darmstadt
Match details. DFB Pokal. Kick-off is Tue 1 Dec, 20:45 Lagos time.
Form. Borussia M´gladbach have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L L. Darmstadt have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D L W.
The numbers. Borussia M´gladbach score 1.8 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Borussia M´gladbach average 11.6 shots (5.2 on target), 5.4 corners and 2.9 cards a game. Darmstadt score one and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Darmstadt average 8.5 shots (3.0 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Borussia M´gladbach the likelier winners, but Darmstadt are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Darmstadt.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Borussia M´gladbach or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Darmstadt or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Borussia M´gladbach 2-1 Darmstadt (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).