Match details. DFB Pokal. Kick-off is Wed 2 Dec, 20:45 Lagos time.
Form. Bochum have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L L. Augsburg have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L D.
The numbers. Bochum score 0.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Bochum average 11.4 shots (4.4 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.9 cards a game. Augsburg score three and concede two a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Augsburg average 14.5 shots (6.8 on target), 5.3 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.
The case against. Likely cup rotation: a domestic cup tie against a side from a division below. Bochum's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. Augsburg or the draw. Augsburg are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Augsburg.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Bochum 1-1 Augsburg (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Augsburg or Over 1.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BOC 5 of 5 (100%) · AUG 5 of 5 (100%)100%
Augsburg: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · Bochum: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 100% · the call is Augsburg or the draw: likely cup rotation: a domestic cup tie against a side from a division below (rule 4)
Augsburg or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
BOC 4 of 5 (80%) · AUG 4 of 5 (80%)80%
Augsburg scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 away · Bochum trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 at home
Augsburg 1UPTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BOC 4 of 5 (80%) · AUG 4 of 5 (80%)73.3%
Augsburg scored first 3 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 4 of 5 away · Bochum trailed in 3 of 5 at home · the call is Augsburg or the draw: likely cup rotation: a domestic cup tie against a side from a division below (rule 4)
Augsburg or Over 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BOC 5 of 5 (100%) · AUG 2 of 5 (40%)69%
Augsburg: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · Bochum: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · the call is Augsburg or the draw: likely cup rotation: a domestic cup tie against a side from a division below (rule 4)
Augsburg (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BOC 3 of 5 (60%) · AUG 4 of 8 (50%)60.4%
Augsburg won 3 of 5 away (draws left out) · Bochum lost 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 54% · won 5, refunded 2, lost 3
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BOC 5 of 5 (100%) · AUG 3 of 5 (60%)94.4%
Bochum: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Augsburg: under 5.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 90%
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BOC 5 of 5 (100%) · AUG 5 of 5 (100%)92.6%
Bochum: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Augsburg: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100%
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BOC 5 of 5 (100%) · AUG 1 of 5 (20%)86.3%
Bochum: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Augsburg: under 4.5 goals in 1 of 5 away · both last 10: 80%
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BOC 3 of 5 (60%) · AUG 5 of 5 (100%)75.7%
Bochum: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Augsburg: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90%
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BOC 0 of 5 (0%) · AUG 4 of 5 (80%)50.6%
Bochum: over 2.5 goals in 0 of 5 at home · Augsburg: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 60%
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BOC 2 of 5 (40%) · AUG 4 of 5 (80%)54.7%
Bochum: both scored in 2 of 5 at home · Augsburg: both scored in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70%
BOCHUM GOALS
Bochum Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BOC 3 of 5 (60%) · AUG 4 of 5 (80%)69.4%
Bochum scored in 3 of 5 at home · Augsburg conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75%
AUGSBURG GOALS
Augsburg Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BOC 5 of 5 (100%) · AUG 4 of 5 (80%)78%
Augsburg scored in 5 of 5 away · Bochum conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 95%
CARDS
Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BOC 4 of 5 (80%) · AUG 4 of 5 (80%)81.7%
Bochum's games: over 2.5 cards in 4 of 5 at home · Augsburg's games: over 2.5 cards in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–112.8%
Bochum goals →
Augsburg goals ↓
0-07%
1-07%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.6%
5-00.1%
0-19%
1-113%
2-17%
3-13%
4-10.8%
5-10.2%
0-28%
1-29%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.6%
5-20.1%
0-34%
1-35%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.4%
1-50.5%
2-50.3%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
BOCHUMWLWDLLLDWW1.40 PPG
AUGSBURGWWWDLDLDWL1.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
BOCHUM HOMExAUGSBURG AWAY
1.10SCORED A GAME2.401.10CONCEDED A GAME1.7010%CLEAN SHEETS20%5.00CORNERS A GAME5.302.90CARDS A GAME1.70
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.10POINTS A GAME1.12-0.30GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.38+1.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.90.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.410LEAGUE GAMES8
Augsburg: the quality side - a top-five league club v a smaller league.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
88%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
61%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
93%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
BOCHUM OR DRAW
51%
NO · 80/85
AUGSBURG OR DRAW
72%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
BOCHUMxAUGSBURG
5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME1.801.40CONCEDED A GAME2.402.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%60%BOTH SCORE100%4.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–11.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Bochum have scored in 70% of their games.
Augsburg have scored in 100% of their games.
Bochum kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Augsburg kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards