Botafogo Fr RJ vs Heips RJ
Match details. Carioca, Women. Kick-off is Wed 4 Nov, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. Botafogo Fr RJ have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L L. Heips RJ have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L W.
The numbers. Botafogo Fr RJ score 1.7 and concede 1.7 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Botafogo Fr RJ average 7.8 shots (2.8 on target), 3.4 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Heips RJ score 2.3 and concede two a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Heips RJ average 10.0 shots (5.0 on target), 3.3 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 4% against the records' 51%.
The read. No firm call: Heips RJ are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Heips RJ are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Heips RJ. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 73%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.22, rated 73% (Botafogo Fr RJ: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home; Heips RJ: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Predicted score: Botafogo Fr RJ 1-2 Heips RJ (8% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Heips RJ the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).