Match details. Cymru Championship, North, North - 14. Kick-off is Fri 6 Nov, 20:45 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Ruthin Town are 14th on 12 points after 12 games, level on points with Rhyl, 5 points clear of Gresford Athletic. A win would take them above Rhyl. Newtown AFC are 2nd on 27 points after 12 games, 4 points behind Brickfield Rangers, 3 points clear of Mold Alexandra.
Form. Ruthin Town have won two, drawn three and lost four of their last nine, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D W L. In this competition Ruthin Town have gone W D D W L L. Newtown AFC have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D W L. In this competition Newtown AFC have gone W D D W L W.
The numbers. Ruthin Town score 0.9 and concede 1.9 a game over their last nine, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Newtown AFC score 1.4 and concede 0.5 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and two games without a goal.
Head to head. Newtown AFC have won all of the last two meetings. Two of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 18 Apr 2026, it finished Ruthin Town 2-3 Newtown AFC.
The read. Newtown AFC to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Newtown AFC the likelier winners; Newtown AFC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Newtown AFC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Newtown AFC at 1.11, 84% on the records (Newtown AFC unbeaten in 9 of 10; Ruthin Town failed to win 7 of 9). Backup: Newtown AFC or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.11. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Newtown AFC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Newtown AFC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Ruthin Town 0-1 Newtown AFC (15% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).