Newport City FC vs Treowen Stars
Match details. Cymru Championship South, South - 14. Kick-off is Fri 6 Nov, 20:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Newport City FC are 13th on 12 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Pontardawe Town, level on points with Cardiff Draconians. A win would take them above Pontardawe Town. Treowen Stars are 8th on 16 points after 11 games, level on points with Trethomas Bluebirds, 1 point clear of Carmarthen Town. A win would take them above Trethomas Bluebirds.
Form. Newport City FC have won two, drawn three and lost four of their last nine, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D D. In this competition Newport City FC have gone W D L D D L. Treowen Stars have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L D. In this competition Treowen Stars have gone W L L L D W.
The numbers. Newport City FC score 1.7 and concede 1.6 a game over their last nine, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Newport City FC average 3.3 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Treowen Stars score two and concede two a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. Treowen Stars average 6.5 corners and 3.2 cards a game.
Head to head. Treowen Stars have won all of the last two meetings. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 20 Mar 2026, it finished Newport City FC 2-3 Treowen Stars.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 30% against the records' 53%.
The read. No firm call: Treowen Stars are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Treowen Stars are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Treowen Stars. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.11, 76% on the records (Newport City FC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 9; Treowen Stars: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.11. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Treowen Stars Over 1.5 goals (Newport City FC's own games don't back it (4 of 9)). Predicted score: Newport City FC 2-1 Treowen Stars (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).