ENGLAND AMATEUR - ISTHMIAN LEAGUE, PR. DIV

SASTA

16:00Sat 7 Nov

WEL

St Albans City vs Welling United

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Isthmian League, Pr. Div. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.

Form. St Albans City have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D W. Welling United have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W L.

The numbers. St Albans City score 2.6 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. St Albans City average 7.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Welling United score 1.8 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. Welling United average 7.1 corners and 1.1 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: St Albans City 2-1 Welling United (9% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (St Albans City the favourite), an open game.

The league run. St Albans City: one defeat in their last five league games (L W W W D). Welling United: coming out of a defeat with two wins (W W L W L).

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

St Albans City (2:0 handicap)PAGE ONLY

no price yet

STA 6 of 6 (100%) · WEL 5 of 8 (62%)81.3%

St Albans City: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Welling United: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · St Albans City: only games against sides at Welling United's level · Welling United: only games against sides at St Albans City's level

St Albans City or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

STA 5 of 6 (83%) · WEL 4 of 8 (50%)52.8%

St Albans City: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Welling United: the bet landed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · St Albans City: only games against sides at Welling United's level · Welling United: only games against sides at St Albans City's level

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

STA 6 of 6 (100%) · WEL 8 of 8 (100%)93.2%

St Albans City: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Welling United: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · St Albans City: only games against sides at Welling United's level · Welling United: only games against sides at St Albans City's level

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.52

STA 4 of 6 (67%) · WEL 3 of 8 (38%)54.5%

St Albans City: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Welling United: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 52% · St Albans City: only games against sides at Welling United's level · Welling United: only games against sides at St Albans City's level

WELLING UNITED GOALS

Welling United Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

WEL 7 of 8 (88%) · STA 4 of 6 (67%)70.5%

Welling United scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · St Albans City conceded in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · Welling United: only games against sides at St Albans City's level · St Albans City: only games against sides at Welling United's level

Left off the list: Welling United or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (64%) and the records (85%) are 21 points apart, and nothing settles it)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.2%

St Albans City goals →

Welling United goals ↓

0-07%

1-09%

2-08%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.6%

0-25%

1-27%

2-26%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.5%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.9%

2-40.7%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

ST ALBANS CITYLWWDWLWWDW2.00 PPG

WELLING UNITEDWWLWLWWDLW1.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

ST ALBANS CITY HOMExWELLING UNITED AWAY

2.00SCORED A GAME2.071.33CONCEDED A GAME1.0060%BOTH SCORED40%30%CLEAN SHEETS50%7.50CORNERS A GAME7.132.00CARDS A GAME1.13

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.92POINTS A GAME2.20+0.67GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.07–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.02.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.812LEAGUE GAMES15

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

66%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

54%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

77%

NO · 85/90

ST ALBANS CITY OR DRAW

74%

NO · 80/85

WELLING UNITED OR DRAW

25%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 15 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

ST ALBANS CITYxWELLING UNITED

5GAMES62.80SCORED A GAME1.331.00CONCEDED A GAME2.003.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.3100%OVER 1.5 GOALS67%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS67%60%BOTH SCORE50%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

St Albans City have scored in 90% of their games.

Welling United have scored in 90% of their games.

St Albans City kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Welling United kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards