Match details. Isthmian League, Pr. Div. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Ramsgate FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W W. Aveley FC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W.
The numbers. Ramsgate FC score 1.7 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Ramsgate FC average 2.3 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Aveley FC score 1.6 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Aveley FC average 5.4 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
The case against. Aveley FC's record still gives them 40% to win.
The read. Ramsgate FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Ramsgate FC the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Ramsgate FC.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Ramsgate FC 1-0 Aveley FC (10% chance).
The agreed story. Ramsgate FC or the draw, an open game.
The league run. Ramsgate FC: up and down in the league (L W L W W). Aveley FC: coming out of a defeat with two wins (W W L W D).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).