Penrhyncoch vs Caersws
Match details. Cymru Championship, North, North - 14. Kick-off is Fri 6 Nov, 20:45 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Penrhyncoch are 16th on 1 point after 12 games, 6 points behind Gresford Athletic. Caersws are 6th on 20 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Bala Town, 1 point clear of Bangor City 1876 FC. A win would take them above Bala Town.
Form. Penrhyncoch have won none, drawn one and lost eight of their last nine, 0.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. In this competition Penrhyncoch have gone L L L L L L. Caersws have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D D W. In this competition Caersws have gone D D D D W L.
The numbers. Penrhyncoch score 0.6 and concede three a game over their last nine, with no clean sheets and five games without a goal. Penrhyncoch average 5.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Caersws score 2.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Caersws average 6.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Penrhyncoch have won three, drawn none and lost one. Four of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. The last time they met, on 6 Apr 2026, it finished Penrhyncoch 2-1 Caersws.
The read. Caersws to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Caersws the likelier winners; Caersws are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Caersws. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 74%. Four of the last four meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.13, 90% on the records (Penrhyncoch: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9; Caersws: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Penrhyncoch or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Caersws); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Penrhyncoch 0-3 Caersws (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).