FK Berane scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FK Budva conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 73% · FK Berane: only games against sides at FK Budva's level · FK Budva: only games against sides at FK Berane's level
Match details. 2. CFL. Kick-off is Wed 4 Nov, 13:00 Lagos time.
Form. FK Budva have won one, drawn six and lost three of their last ten league games, 0.9 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D W D D D. FK Berane have won one, drawn one and lost seven of their last nine league games, 0.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L L L L.
The numbers. FK Budva score one and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. FK Budva average 6.5 corners and 2.8 cards a game. FK Berane score one and concede three a game over their last nine, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal.
The case against. FK Berane's record still gives them 24% to win.
The read. FK Budva to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make FK Budva the likelier winners; FK Budva are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 73%.
The bets. Best bet: FK Budva or Draw at 1.22, rated 76% (FK Budva unbeaten in 3 of 5 at home; FK Berane failed to win 8 of 9). Full cover: FK Berane Over 0.5 Goals at 1.39. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: FK Budva 2-1 FK Berane (10% chance).
The agreed story. FK Budva or the draw, an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).