BREBRE

21:00Mon 23 Nov

EVE

EVE

Brentford vs Everton

CLASS A

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Premier League. Kick-off is Mon 23 Nov, 21:00 Lagos time.

Form. Brentford have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L D. Everton have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L D.

The numbers. Brentford score 1.7 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Brentford average 12.6 shots (4.3 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Everton score 0.8 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Everton average 12.1 shots (4.6 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.3 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Brentford the likelier winners, but Everton are the stronger side on form and the table. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 26% against the records' 60%.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 36%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Brentford 1-1 Everton (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.19

BRE 8 of 8 (100%) · EVE 5 of 5 (100%)87.4%

Brentford: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Everton: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Brentford: only games against sides at Everton's level · Everton: only games against sides at Brentford's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BRE 6 of 8 (75%) · EVE 3 of 5 (60%)70%

Brentford's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Everton's games: over 3.5 cards in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · Brentford: only games against sides at Everton's level · Everton: only games against sides at Brentford's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 12.9%

Brentford goals →

Everton goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-09%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.6%

0-24%

1-27%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21.0%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.4%

1-40.7%

2-40.5%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

BRENTFORDDDDWWDLDLW1.40 PPG

EVERTONDDDWWDLLWW1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

BRENTFORD HOMExEVERTON AWAY

1.70SCORED A GAME1.101.30CONCEDED A GAME1.0020%CLEAN SHEETS40%4.10CORNERS A GAME5.002.70CARDS A GAME2.30

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.56POINTS A GAME1.44+0.78GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00-1.6SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.91.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.49LEAGUE GAMES9

Brentford: the quality side - a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

90%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

35%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

99%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

BRENTFORD OR DRAW

80%

OKAY · 80/85

EVERTON OR DRAW

61%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

BRENTFORDxEVERTON

5GAMES52.00SCORED A GAME0.800.60CONCEDED A GAME1.002.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.8100%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%40%BOTH SCORE40%4.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.610.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES13.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Brentford have scored in 100% of their games.

Everton have scored in 70% of their games.

Brentford kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Everton kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards