PAOPAO

18:30Sun 22 Nov

AEK

PAOK vs AE Kifisia FC

CLASS B

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Super League. Kick-off is Sun 22 Nov, 18:30 Lagos time.

Form. PAOK have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W L. AE Kifisia FC have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L W.

The numbers. PAOK score 1.7 and concede one a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. PAOK average 12.5 shots (4.8 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.5 cards a game. AE Kifisia FC score 1.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. AE Kifisia FC average 10.2 shots (4.4 on target), 4.8 corners and 3.6 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 77% against the records' 54%.

The read. No firm call: PAOK are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make PAOK the likelier winners; PAOK are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour PAOK. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 74%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: PAOK 3-0 AE Kifisia FC (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

PAOK GOALS

PAOK Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

PAO 7 of 7 (100%) · AEK 6 of 8 (75%)89.7%

PAOK scored in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AE Kifisia FC conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · PAOK: only games against sides at AE Kifisia FC's level · AE Kifisia FC: only games against sides at PAOK's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

PAO 7 of 7 (100%) · AEK 7 of 8 (88%)93.8%

PAOK's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AE Kifisia FC's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · PAOK: only games against sides at AE Kifisia FC's level · AE Kifisia FC: only games against sides at PAOK's level

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 3–0 9.6%

PAOK goals →

AE Kifisia FC goals ↓

0-05%

1-011%

2-013%

3-010%

4-05%

5-02%

0-13%

1-19%

2-19%

3-17%

4-14%

5-12%

0-21%

1-23%

2-23%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.7%

0-30.3%

1-30.8%

2-30.9%

3-30.6%

4-30.4%

5-30.2%

0-40.1%

1-40.1%

2-40.2%

3-40.1%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.0%

2-50.0%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

PAOKDLWWWLWLWW1.90 PPG

AE KIFISIA FCLLDLWWLWWL1.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

PAOK HOMExAE KIFISIA FC AWAY

1.60SCORED A GAME1.301.20CONCEDED A GAME1.5030%CLEAN SHEETS30%5.00CORNERS A GAME4.802.50CARDS A GAME3.60

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.71POINTS A GAME1.00+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.50+1.6SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.51.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.47LEAGUE GAMES8

PAOK: the quality side - more points a game.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

95%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

79%

VERY GOOD · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

92%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

PAOK OR DRAW

63%

NO · 80/85

AE KIFISIA FC OR DRAW

38%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

PAOKxAE KIFISIA FC

5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME1.601.40CONCEDED A GAME1.603.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.2100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%80%BOTH SCORE80%5.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES6.210.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.2

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

PAOK have scored in 90% of their games.

AE Kifisia FC have scored in 70% of their games.

PAOK kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

AE Kifisia FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards