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GREECE - SUPER LEAGUE
Panathinaikos crestPANPAN
16:30Sun 22 Nov
OFIOFI Crete crestOC

Panathinaikos vs OFI Crete

CLASS B
THE READ

Match details. Super League. Kick-off is Sun 22 Nov, 16:30 Lagos time.

Form. Panathinaikos have won nine, drawn none and lost one of their last ten, 2.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. OFI Crete have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L L.

The numbers. Panathinaikos score 2.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Panathinaikos average 16.2 shots (5.5 on target), 6.7 corners and 1.5 cards a game. OFI Crete score one and concede 1.7 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. OFI Crete average 8.9 shots (3.2 on target), 5.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 83% against the records' 58%.

The read. No firm call: Panathinaikos are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make Panathinaikos the likelier winners; Panathinaikos are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Panathinaikos.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Over 3.5 Cards (the signs point different ways); OFI Crete Under 1.5 goals (OFI Crete's own games don't back it (3 of 6)). Predicted score: Panathinaikos 1-1 OFI Crete (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.09
PAN 5 of 6 (83%) · OFI 5 of 6 (83%)94%
Panathinaikos: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · OFI Crete: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Panathinaikos: only games against sides at OFI Crete's level · OFI Crete: only games against sides at Panathinaikos's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
PAN 6 of 6 (100%) · OFI 6 of 6 (100%)92.9%
Panathinaikos: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · OFI Crete: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Panathinaikos: only games against sides at OFI Crete's level · OFI Crete: only games against sides at Panathinaikos's level
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.26
PAN 5 of 6 (83%) · OFI 5 of 6 (83%)85.7%
Panathinaikos: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · OFI Crete: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Panathinaikos: only games against sides at OFI Crete's level · OFI Crete: only games against sides at Panathinaikos's level
Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.63
PAN 5 of 6 (83%) · OFI 4 of 6 (67%)70.6%
Panathinaikos: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · OFI Crete: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Panathinaikos: only games against sides at OFI Crete's level · OFI Crete: only games against sides at Panathinaikos's level
PANATHINAIKOS GOALS
Panathinaikos Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
PAN 5 of 6 (83%) · OFI 4 of 6 (67%)82.7%
Panathinaikos scored in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · OFI Crete conceded in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Panathinaikos: only games against sides at OFI Crete's level · OFI Crete: only games against sides at Panathinaikos's level
Left off the list: Over 3.5 Cards (the numbers (42%) and the records (75%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); OFI Crete Under 1.5 goals (OFI Crete's own games don't back it (3 of 6))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 11.8%
Panathinaikos goals →
OFI Crete goals ↓
0-07%
1-011%
2-010%
3-06%
4-03%
5-00.9%
0-16%
1-112%
2-110%
3-16%
4-13%
5-10.9%
0-23%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.3%
1-40.4%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10
PANATHINAIKOSWWWLWWWWWW2.70 PPG
OFI CRETEWWDLLLLWLW1.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
PANATHINAIKOS HOMExOFI CRETE AWAY
2.30SCORED A GAME1.200.50CONCEDED A GAME1.5050%CLEAN SHEETS30%6.70CORNERS A GAME5.501.50CARDS A GAME2.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.62POINTS A GAME1.43+1.62GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.14+7.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-6.02.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.48LEAGUE GAMES7
Panathinaikos: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
PANATHINAIKOS 2:0 HANDICAP
–
389 OF 413
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
74%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
55%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
86%
OKAY · 85/90
PANATHINAIKOS OR DRAW
86%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
OFI CRETE OR DRAW
17%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
PANATHINAIKOSxOFI CRETE
5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME1.600.40CONCEDED A GAME2.002.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.640%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%20%BOTH SCORE60%5.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.410.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.2
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Panathinaikos have scored in 90% of their games.
OFI Crete have scored in 70% of their games.
Panathinaikos kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
OFI Crete kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards
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