Caerau Ely FC vs Pontypridd Town
Match details. Cymru Championship South, South - 14. Kick-off is Fri 6 Nov, 20:45 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Caerau Ely FC are 3rd on 22 points after 12 games, level on points with Aberystwyth Town, 1 point clear of Swansea University. A win would take them above Aberystwyth Town. Pontypridd Town are 1st on 24 points after 12 games, 2 points clear of Aberystwyth Town.
Form. Caerau Ely FC have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W. In this competition Caerau Ely FC have gone W L W W W W. Pontypridd Town have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D W L. In this competition Pontypridd Town have gone W D D W L W.
The numbers. Caerau Ely FC score 1.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Caerau Ely FC average 5.7 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Pontypridd Town score three and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Pontypridd Town average 6.4 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Caerau Ely FC have won one, drawn two and lost three. Two of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Caerau Ely FC won one, one was drawn and Pontypridd Town won two. The last time they met, on 18 Apr 2026, it finished Caerau Ely FC 0-0 Pontypridd Town.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%; four of the last six meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Four of the last six meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Caerau Ely FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Caerau Ely FC 1-1 Pontypridd Town (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).