Match details. Cymru Championship South, South - 14. Kick-off is Fri 6 Nov, 20:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Baglan Dragons are 6th on 17 points after 12 games, 2 points behind Ynyshir Albions, 1 point clear of Trethomas Bluebirds. A win would take them above Ynyshir Albions. Ynyshir Albions are 5th on 19 points after 10 games, 2 points behind Swansea University, 2 points clear of Baglan Dragons. A win would take them above Swansea University.
Form. Baglan Dragons have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L L. In this competition Baglan Dragons have gone L D W L L W. Ynyshir Albions have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D D. In this competition Ynyshir Albions have gone W W W D D D.
The numbers. Baglan Dragons score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Baglan Dragons average 6.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Ynyshir Albions score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. Ynyshir Albions average 5.5 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Baglan Dragons have won one, drawn one and lost none. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 24 Jan 2026, it finished Baglan Dragons 0-0 Ynyshir Albions.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Both Teams to Score - Yes (the signs point different ways); Ynyshir Albions or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Ynyshir Albions or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: Baglan Dragons 1-1 Ynyshir Albions (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).