Match details. Cymru Championship South, South - 14. Kick-off is Fri 6 Nov, 20:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Afan Lido are 10th on 15 points after 13 games, level on points with Carmarthen Town, 1 point clear of Caerphilly Athletic. A win would take them above Carmarthen Town. Caerphilly Athletic FC are 11th on 14 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Afan Lido, 1 point clear of Pontardawe Town. A win would take them above Afan Lido.
Form. Afan Lido have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L D. In this competition Afan Lido have gone L W D L D W. Caerphilly Athletic FC have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L. In this competition Caerphilly Athletic FC have gone L W W L L L.
The numbers. Afan Lido score 1.3 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and four games without a goal. Afan Lido average 3.3 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Caerphilly Athletic FC score 1.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Caerphilly Athletic FC average 5.2 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.13, 70% on the records (Afan Lido: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 10; Caerphilly Athletic FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Afan Lido or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Caerphilly Athletic FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Caerphilly Athletic FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: Afan Lido 1-2 Caerphilly Athletic FC (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).