THE READ
Match details. Pakistan meet India in the SAFF Championship, Group Stage - 2. Kick-off is Thu 5 Nov, 10:30 Lagos time.
Form. Pakistan have won none, drawn three and lost seven of their last ten, getting 0.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first, read L D L L L. India have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, taking 0.7 points a game. Their last five form is W L L D L.
The numbers. Pakistan score 0.6 and concede 2.4 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and six games without a goal. They average 8.7 shots (2.3 on target), 1.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game, with 40% of the ball. India score 0.5 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and six games without a goal. India average 6.2 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
Head to head. India have won all of the last three meetings. Two of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 21 Jun 2023, it finished Pakistan 0-4 India.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%, and two of the last three meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Pakistan's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. India to win. Their goals for and against make India the likelier winners. India are the stronger side on form and the table. Both teams' records and the meetings favour India.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: India Over 0.5 Goals (India's own games don't back it (4 of 10)). Predicted score: Pakistan 0-1 India (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
India or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
PAK 4 of 5 (80%) · IND 4 of 5 (80%)90%
India scored first 1 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Pakistan trailed or failed to win in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · each game weighed by who it was against
India or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
PAK 7 of 10 (70%) · IND 9 of 10 (90%)81.1%
India: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Pakistan: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 3 of 3 · each game weighed by who it was against
India or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
PAK 5 of 10 (50%) · IND 9 of 10 (90%)79.1%
India: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Pakistan: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · H2H 3 of 3 · each game weighed by who it was against
Double Chance: Draw or IndiaPAGE ONLY
1.15
PAK 5 of 10 (50%) · IND 10 of 10 (100%)76.4%
India unbeaten in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Pakistan failed to win 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · H2H 3 of 3 · each game weighed by who it was against
India or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
PAK 4 of 10 (40%) · IND 8 of 10 (80%)69%
India: the bet landed in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Pakistan: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · H2H 3 of 3 · each game weighed by who it was against
India (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.18
PAK 1 of 6 (17%) · IND 7 of 7 (100%)67.2%
India won 1 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Pakistan lost 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 58% · H2H 3 of 3 · each game weighed by who it was against · won 3, refunded 2, lost 3
GOALS
no price yet
PAK 9 of 10 (90%) · IND 10 of 10 (100%)96.7%
Pakistan: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · India: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · H2H 3 of 3 · each game weighed by who it was against
no price yet
PAK 8 of 10 (80%) · IND 10 of 10 (100%)91%
Pakistan: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · India: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 3 of 3 · each game weighed by who it was against
no price yet
PAK 9 of 10 (90%) · IND 7 of 10 (70%)89.8%
Pakistan: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · India: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · H2H 3 of 3 · each game weighed by who it was against
Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.16
PAK 8 of 10 (80%) · IND 5 of 10 (50%)68.7%
Pakistan: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · India: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · H2H 2 of 3 · each game weighed by who it was against
HALVES
1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
PAK 10 of 10 (100%) · IND 8 of 8 (100%)100%
Pakistan: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · India: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 3 of 3 · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.15
PAK 9 of 10 (90%) · IND 7 of 8 (88%)92.3%
Pakistan: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · India: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 91% · H2H 3 of 3 · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.57
PAK 7 of 10 (70%) · IND 7 of 8 (88%)77.9%
Pakistan: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · India: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 2 of 3 · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Left off the list: India Over 0.5 Goals (India's own games don't back it (4 of 10))
TRENDS
Pakistan have scored in 40% of their games.
India have scored in 40% of their games.
Pakistan kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
India kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.