Match details. 2. CFL. Kick-off is Wed 4 Nov, 13:00 Lagos time.
Form. OFK Grbalj have won four, drawn two and lost three of their last nine league games, 1.6 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L L D L. FK Kom Podgorica have won four, drawn three and lost two of their last nine league games, 1.7 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L W W W D.
The numbers. OFK Grbalj score 1.8 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. OFK Grbalj average 6.0 corners and 1.5 cards a game. FK Kom Podgorica score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. FK Kom Podgorica average 1.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
The read. A draw. An open game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: OFK Grbalj 2-2 FK Kom Podgorica (7% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (FK Kom Podgorica the favourite), an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).