Auckland FC vs Melbourne Victory FC
Match details. A-League. Kick-off is Sat 21 Nov, 05:00 Lagos time.
Form. Auckland FC have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L W. Melbourne Victory FC have won two, drawn six and lost two of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L W.
The numbers. Auckland FC score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Auckland FC average 9.5 shots (3.5 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Melbourne Victory FC score 0.6 and concede 0.7 a game in their last seven away, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. Melbourne Victory FC average 11.3 shots (3.7 on target), 5.6 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 28% against the records' 49%.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Auckland FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Melbourne Victory FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Auckland FC 1-1 Melbourne Victory FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).