LILLIL

20:45Sat 21 Nov

LYO

LYO

Lille vs Lyon

CLASS A

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Ligue 1. Kick-off is Sat 21 Nov, 20:45 Lagos time.

Form. Lille have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D L D. Lyon have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W W.

The numbers. Lille score 1.5 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. Lille average 9.7 shots (4.0 on target), 4.1 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Lyon score 0.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Lyon average 10.8 shots (4.9 on target), 4.6 corners and 1.5 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Lyon or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Lyon or Draw (1UP) (no result call); Lyon Over 0.5 goals (Lille's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Lille 1-1 Lyon (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.18

LIL 4 of 5 (80%) · LYO 7 of 7 (100%)88%

Lille: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Lyon: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · Lille: only games against sides at Lyon's level · Lyon: only games against sides at Lille's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.62

LIL 2 of 5 (40%) · LYO 3 of 7 (43%)52.9%

Lille: both scored in 2 of 5 at home · Lyon: both scored in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 50% · Lille: only games against sides at Lyon's level · Lyon: only games against sides at Lille's level

LILLE GOALS

Lille Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.24

LIL 5 of 5 (100%) · LYO 4 of 7 (57%)75.2%

Lille scored in 5 of 5 at home · Lyon conceded in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Lille: only games against sides at Lyon's level · Lyon: only games against sides at Lille's level

Lille Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.73

LIL 3 of 5 (60%) · LYO 5 of 7 (71%)59.4%

Lille scored under 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home · Lyon conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Lille: only games against sides at Lyon's level · Lyon: only games against sides at Lille's level

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.36

LIL 4 of 5 (80%) · LYO 5 of 7 (71%)76.7%

Lille: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Lyon: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · on half-time scores · Lille: only games against sides at Lyon's level · Lyon: only games against sides at Lille's level

Left off the list: Lyon or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Lyon or Draw (1UP) (no result call); Lyon Over 0.5 goals (Lille's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Lyon win or both teams score (no result call); Lyon 1UP (no result call); 1X2 - 2UP: Lyon (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.3%

Lille goals →

Lyon goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.9%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

LILLELWLWLDLDWD1.20 PPG

LYONWDWWLWWLLW1.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

LILLE HOMExLYON AWAY

1.10SCORED A GAME1.701.40CONCEDED A GAME1.2040%CLEAN SHEETS30%4.10CORNERS A GAME4.601.90CARDS A GAME1.50

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

2.00POINTS A GAME1.89+0.67GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.89-1.6SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.41.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.89LEAGUE GAMES9

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

79%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

25%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

99%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

LILLE OR DRAW

88%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

LYON OR DRAW

44%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

LILLExLYON

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.800.80CONCEDED A GAME1.001.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.860%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE40%4.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.69.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Lille have scored in 80% of their games.

Lyon have scored in 70% of their games.

Lille kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Lyon kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards