LENLEN

20:45Sat 21 Nov

TOU

TOU

Lens vs Toulouse

CLASS A

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Ligue 1. Kick-off is Sat 21 Nov, 20:45 Lagos time.

Form. Lens have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W L. Toulouse have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W D W.

The numbers. Lens score 1.3 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. Lens average 12.2 shots (5.3 on target), 6.4 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Toulouse score 1.5 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Toulouse average 10.9 shots (4.5 on target), 3.8 corners and 1.8 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 66%.

The case against. Toulouse's record still gives them 30% to win.

The read. Lens to win. Their goals for and against make Lens the likelier winners; Lens are the stronger side on form and the table.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 1.5 first-half goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Lens 1-0 Toulouse (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.10

LEN 7 of 7 (100%) · TOU 6 of 6 (100%)94.6%

Lens: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Toulouse: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 100% · Lens: only games against sides at Toulouse's level · Toulouse: only games against sides at Lens's level

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.25

LEN 7 of 7 (100%) · TOU 6 of 6 (100%)86.7%

Lens: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Toulouse: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 95% · Lens: only games against sides at Toulouse's level · Toulouse: only games against sides at Lens's level

LENS GOALS

Lens Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.15

LEN 5 of 7 (71%) · TOU 4 of 6 (67%)82.6%

Lens scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Toulouse conceded in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 71% · Lens: only games against sides at Toulouse's level · Toulouse: only games against sides at Lens's level

HALVES

Under 2.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.18

LEN 5 of 7 (71%) · TOU 5 of 5 (100%)85.7%

Lens: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Toulouse: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 86% · on half-time scores · Lens: only games against sides at Toulouse's level · Toulouse: only games against sides at Lens's level

1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY

1.29

LEN 5 of 7 (71%) · TOU 4 of 5 (80%)77.2%

Lens: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Toulouse: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · Lens: only games against sides at Toulouse's level · Toulouse: only games against sides at Lens's level

Over 0.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.29

LEN 5 of 7 (71%) · TOU 4 of 5 (80%)69.8%

Lens: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Toulouse: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 58% · on half-time scores · Lens: only games against sides at Toulouse's level · Toulouse: only games against sides at Lens's level

CORNERS

Over 6.5 CornersPAGE ONLY

no price yet

LEN 7 of 7 (100%) · TOU 4 of 6 (67%)83.9%

Lens's games: over 6.5 corners in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Toulouse's games: over 6.5 corners in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 85% · Lens: only games against sides at Toulouse's level · Toulouse: only games against sides at Lens's level

CARDS

Over 1.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

LEN 6 of 7 (86%) · TOU 4 of 6 (67%)85%

Lens's games: over 1.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Toulouse's games: over 1.5 cards in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 78% · Lens: only games against sides at Toulouse's level · Toulouse: only games against sides at Lens's level

Left off the list: Under 1.5 first-half goals (the numbers (76%) and the records (52%) are 24 points apart, and nothing settles it)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 11.5%

Lens goals →

Toulouse goals ↓

0-08%

1-011%

2-011%

3-06%

4-03%

5-00.9%

0-16%

1-112%

2-110%

3-16%

4-12%

5-10.9%

0-23%

1-25%

2-24%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-30.9%

1-32%

2-31%

3-30.8%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.2%

1-40.4%

2-40.3%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

LENSLWDLWLWLWL1.30 PPG

TOULOUSEDLDLDWDWDL1.10 PPG

THE NUMBERS

LENS HOMExTOULOUSE AWAY

1.30SCORED A GAME1.201.60CONCEDED A GAME1.300%CLEAN SHEETS30%6.40CORNERS A GAME3.802.30CARDS A GAME1.80

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.44POINTS A GAME1.11+0.33GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.11-0.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.01.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.69LEAGUE GAMES9

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

77%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

70%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

90%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

LENS OR DRAW

78%

NO · 80/85

TOULOUSE OR DRAW

55%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

LENSxTOULOUSE

5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME1.601.20CONCEDED A GAME1.202.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.880%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%80%BOTH SCORE40%3.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.410.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES7.6

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Lens have scored in 60% of their games.

Toulouse have scored in 50% of their games.

Lens kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

Toulouse kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards