ENGLAND - PREMIER LEAGUE
18:30Sat 21 Nov
ARS
ARS
Newcastle vs Arsenal
CLASS A
THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
78
DOUBLE CHANCE
Class A
Double Chance: Draw or Arsenal
Newcastle v Arsenal
1.17odds
85%book
-7edge
1/1angles
THE READ
Match details. Premier League. Kick-off is Sat 21 Nov, 18:30 Lagos time.
Form. Newcastle have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L. Arsenal have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D W.
The numbers. Newcastle score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Newcastle average 13.2 shots (3.8 on target), 6.3 corners and 2.6 cards a game. Arsenal score 1.6 and concede 1.1 a game in their last seven away, with three clean sheets. Arsenal average 11.8 shots (4.0 on target), 5.1 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
The case against. Newcastle's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. Arsenal to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Arsenal the likelier winners; Arsenal are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Arsenal. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Arsenal at 1.17, 78% on the records (Arsenal unbeaten in 5 of 6; Newcastle failed to win 5 of 8). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.22. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Arsenal or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); 1X2 - 2UP: Arsenal (the signs point different ways); Newcastle Under 1.5 goals (Newcastle's own games don't back it (4 of 8)). Predicted score: Newcastle 0-1 Arsenal (11% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Arsenal or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.14
NEW 5 of 6 (83%) · ARS 6 of 8 (75%)79.2%
Arsenal: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Newcastle: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Arsenal: only games against sides at Newcastle's level · Newcastle: only games against sides at Arsenal's level
Arsenal win or both teams scoreIN CODES
1.11
NEW 5 of 6 (83%) · ARS 6 of 8 (75%)79.2%
Arsenal: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Newcastle: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Arsenal: only games against sides at Newcastle's level · Newcastle: only games against sides at Arsenal's level
Arsenal to Win Either Half: YesPAGE ONLY
1.30
NEW 5 of 6 (83%) · ARS 6 of 8 (75%)79.2%
Arsenal: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Newcastle: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · on half-time scores · Arsenal: only games against sides at Newcastle's level · Newcastle: only games against sides at Arsenal's level
Double Chance: Draw or ArsenalMAININ CODES
1.17
NEW 5 of 6 (83%) · ARS 5 of 8 (62%)78.1%
Arsenal unbeaten in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Newcastle failed to win 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · Arsenal: only games against sides at Newcastle's level · Newcastle: only games against sides at Arsenal's level
Arsenal or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.13
NEW 4 of 5 (80%) · ARS 5 of 6 (83%)75.3%
Arsenal scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Newcastle trailed or failed to win in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Arsenal: only games against sides at Newcastle's level · Newcastle: only games against sides at Arsenal's level
Arsenal 1UPIN CODES
1.30
NEW 4 of 5 (80%) · ARS 5 of 6 (83%)75.3%
Arsenal scored first 3 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Newcastle trailed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Arsenal: only games against sides at Newcastle's level · Newcastle: only games against sides at Arsenal's level
1st Half Result or Match Result: ArsenalPAGE ONLY
1.36
NEW 5 of 6 (83%) · ARS 5 of 8 (62%)72.9%
Arsenal: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Newcastle: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · on half-time scores · Arsenal: only games against sides at Newcastle's level · Newcastle: only games against sides at Arsenal's level
Arsenal (Draw No Bet)IN CODES
1.25
NEW 5 of 6 (83%) · ARS 4 of 7 (57%)70.6%
Arsenal won 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Newcastle lost 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 70% · Arsenal: only games against sides at Newcastle's level · Newcastle: only games against sides at Arsenal's level · won 6, refunded 3, lost 2
Arsenal to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.60
NEW 5 of 6 (83%) · ARS 4 of 8 (50%)52.4%
Arsenal won 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Newcastle lost 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · Arsenal: only games against sides at Newcastle's level · Newcastle: only games against sides at Arsenal's level
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.19
NEW 6 of 8 (75%) · ARS 6 of 6 (100%)87.3%
Newcastle: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Arsenal: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Newcastle: only games against sides at Arsenal's level · Arsenal: only games against sides at Newcastle's level
ARSENAL GOALS
Arsenal Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.13
NEW 5 of 6 (83%) · ARS 6 of 8 (75%)80.8%
Arsenal scored in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Newcastle conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Arsenal: only games against sides at Newcastle's level · Newcastle: only games against sides at Arsenal's level
HALVES
1st Half - GG/NG: NoBACKUPPAGE ONLY
1.22
NEW 7 of 8 (88%) · ARS 6 of 6 (100%)93.8%
Newcastle: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Arsenal: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · on half-time scores · Newcastle: only games against sides at Arsenal's level · Arsenal: only games against sides at Newcastle's level
Under 2.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.15
NEW 6 of 8 (75%) · ARS 6 of 6 (100%)87.5%
Newcastle: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Arsenal: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · on half-time scores · Newcastle: only games against sides at Arsenal's level · Arsenal: only games against sides at Newcastle's level
Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.58
NEW 5 of 8 (62%) · ARS 5 of 6 (83%)72.9%
Newcastle: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Arsenal: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · on half-time scores · Newcastle: only games against sides at Arsenal's level · Arsenal: only games against sides at Newcastle's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NEW 5 of 8 (62%) · ARS 5 of 6 (83%)72.9%
Newcastle's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Arsenal's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · Newcastle: only games against sides at Arsenal's level · Arsenal: only games against sides at Newcastle's level
Left off the list: Arsenal or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); 1X2 - 2UP: Arsenal (the numbers (54%) and the records (75%) are 22 points apart, and nothing settles it); Newcastle Under 1.5 goals (Newcastle's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Arsenal or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–1 11.2%
Newcastle goals →
Arsenal goals ↓
0-08%
1-06%
2-03%
3-01%
4-00.3%
5-00.1%
0-111%
1-112%
2-16%
3-12%
4-10.5%
5-10.1%
0-210%
1-210%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.4%
5-20.1%
0-35%
1-35%
2-33%
3-30.9%
4-30.2%
5-30.0%
0-42%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.7%
1-50.7%
2-50.4%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
NEWCASTLEWDWLWLLWLL1.30 PPG
ARSENALWWLWWWDWDW2.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
NEWCASTLE HOMExARSENAL AWAY
1.20SCORED A GAME1.801.60CONCEDED A GAME0.9030%CLEAN SHEETS50%6.30CORNERS A GAME5.102.60CARDS A GAME1.60
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.22POINTS A GAME2.67-0.33GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.00-2.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.61.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.49LEAGUE GAMES9
Arsenal: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
ARSENAL 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
71%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
51%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
94%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
NEWCASTLE OR DRAW
37%
NO · 80/85
ARSENAL OR DRAW
80%
OKAY · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
NEWCASTLExARSENAL
5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME1.001.40CONCEDED A GAME0.602.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.660%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%60%BOTH SCORE0%6.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.28.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.6
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Newcastle have scored in 80% of their games.
Arsenal have scored in 90% of their games.
Newcastle kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Arsenal kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards