ENGLAND - PREMIER LEAGUE
16:00Sat 21 Nov
LEE
LU
Chelsea vs Leeds United
CLASS A
THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
80
DOUBLE CHANCE
Class A
Double Chance: Chelsea or Draw
Chelsea v Leeds United
1.23odds
81%book
-1edge
2/2angles
EDGE PICKLeeds United Over 0.5 goals · 62.1% · @1.45
Book 69% · Us 62% -7 price too short
Backed by
· main loses on: 0-1, 0-2, 1-2, 0-3, 1-3, 0-4, 2-3, 1-4, 0-5, 2-4, 1-5, 0-6 and 43 more up to 10-10 | hedge wins on all of themLeeds United scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Chelsea conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 69% · Leeds United: only games against sides at Chelsea's level · Chelsea: only games against sides at Leeds United's level
THE READ
Match details. Premier League. Kick-off is Sat 21 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Chelsea have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W W. Leeds United have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L D.
The numbers. Chelsea score 3.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Chelsea average 12.6 shots (5.5 on target), 5.7 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Leeds United score 1.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Leeds United average 9.8 shots (3.7 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.
The read. Chelsea to win. Their goals for and against make Chelsea the likelier winners; Chelsea are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. Best bet: Chelsea or Draw at 1.23, 80% on the records (Chelsea unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; Leeds United failed to win 7 of 8). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.22. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Leeds United Under 1.5 goals (Chelsea's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Chelsea or draw and both teams score (the signs point different ways); Chelsea Over 1.5 goals (Leeds United's own games don't back it (2 of 8)). Predicted score: Chelsea 1-0 Leeds United (11% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Chelsea or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CHE 5 of 5 (100%) · LEE 6 of 8 (75%)87.5%
Chelsea: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Leeds United: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Chelsea: only games against sides at Leeds United's level · Leeds United: only games against sides at Chelsea's level
Chelsea or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.17
CHE 4 of 5 (80%) · LEE 4 of 5 (80%)82.5%
Chelsea scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · Leeds United trailed or failed to win in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Chelsea: only games against sides at Leeds United's level · Leeds United: only games against sides at Chelsea's level
Double Chance: Chelsea or DrawMAININ CODES
1.23
CHE 4 of 5 (80%) · LEE 7 of 8 (88%)80.3%
Chelsea unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · Leeds United failed to win 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Chelsea: only games against sides at Leeds United's level · Leeds United: only games against sides at Chelsea's level
Chelsea or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES
1.14
CHE 4 of 5 (80%) · LEE 6 of 8 (75%)76.7%
Chelsea: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Leeds United: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Chelsea: only games against sides at Leeds United's level · Leeds United: only games against sides at Chelsea's level
Chelsea (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY
1.37
CHE 4 of 7 (57%) · LEE 3 of 5 (60%)74%
Chelsea won 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Leeds United lost 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 59% · Chelsea: only games against sides at Leeds United's level · each game weighed by who it was against · won 7, refunded 3, lost 2
Chelsea 1UPIN CODES
1.39
CHE 4 of 5 (80%) · LEE 4 of 5 (80%)70%
Chelsea scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 4 of 5 at home · Leeds United trailed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Chelsea: only games against sides at Leeds United's level · Leeds United: only games against sides at Chelsea's level
Chelsea or Draw & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
1.47
CHE 4 of 5 (80%) · LEE 5 of 8 (62%)68.3%
Chelsea: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Leeds United: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · Chelsea: only games against sides at Leeds United's level · Leeds United: only games against sides at Chelsea's level
Chelsea or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.29
CHE 4 of 5 (80%) · LEE 3 of 8 (38%)60%
Chelsea: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Leeds United: the bet landed in 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · Chelsea: only games against sides at Leeds United's level · Leeds United: only games against sides at Chelsea's level
Chelsea to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.83
CHE 3 of 5 (60%) · LEE 2 of 8 (25%)56.1%
Chelsea won 3 of 5 at home · Leeds United lost 2 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 38% · Chelsea: only games against sides at Leeds United's level · Leeds United: only games against sides at Chelsea's level
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.18
CHE 3 of 5 (60%) · LEE 7 of 8 (88%)85.3%
Chelsea: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Leeds United: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Chelsea: only games against sides at Leeds United's level · Leeds United: only games against sides at Chelsea's level
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.21
CHE 5 of 5 (100%) · LEE 6 of 8 (75%)76.8%
Chelsea: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Leeds United: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Chelsea: only games against sides at Leeds United's level · Leeds United: only games against sides at Chelsea's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.71
CHE 3 of 5 (60%) · LEE 5 of 8 (62%)52.4%
Chelsea: both scored in 3 of 5 at home · Leeds United: both scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 56% · Chelsea: only games against sides at Leeds United's level · Leeds United: only games against sides at Chelsea's level
CHELSEA GOALS
Chelsea Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.17
CHE 4 of 5 (80%) · LEE 6 of 8 (75%)83.3%
Chelsea scored in 4 of 5 at home · Leeds United conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Chelsea: only games against sides at Leeds United's level · Leeds United: only games against sides at Chelsea's level
LEEDS UNITED GOALS
Leeds United Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.45
CHE 5 of 8 (62%) · LEE 4 of 5 (80%)62.1%
Leeds United scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Chelsea conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 69% · Leeds United: only games against sides at Chelsea's level · Chelsea: only games against sides at Leeds United's level
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5BACKUPPAGE ONLY
1.22
CHE 5 of 5 (100%) · LEE 6 of 8 (75%)87.5%
Chelsea: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Leeds United: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · on half-time scores · Chelsea: only games against sides at Leeds United's level · Leeds United: only games against sides at Chelsea's level
Left off the list: Leeds United Under 1.5 goals (Chelsea's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Chelsea or draw and both teams score (the numbers (43%) and the records (51%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Chelsea Over 1.5 goals (Leeds United's own games don't back it (2 of 8))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–0 10.6%
Chelsea goals →
Leeds United goals ↓
0-07%
1-011%
2-010%
3-06%
4-03%
5-01.0%
0-15%
1-112%
2-110%
3-16%
4-13%
5-10.9%
0-23%
1-25%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.5%
0-31.0%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.2%
1-40.4%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
CHELSEAWLWDLWWLDW1.70 PPG
LEEDS UNITEDWDDLWDLDDL1.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CHELSEA HOMExLEEDS UNITED AWAY
2.30SCORED A GAME1.301.70CONCEDED A GAME1.4020%CLEAN SHEETS30%5.70CORNERS A GAME4.201.90CARDS A GAME1.90
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.78POINTS A GAME1.22+0.44GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.11+1.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.21.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.69LEAGUE GAMES9
Chelsea: the quality side - better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
90%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
43%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
77%
NO · 85/90
CHELSEA OR DRAW
80%
OKAY · 80/85
LEEDS UNITED OR DRAW
49%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CHELSEAxLEEDS UNITED
5GAMES52.60SCORED A GAME0.601.60CONCEDED A GAME1.004.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.6100%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%60%BOTH SCORE40%5.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.211.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.2
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Chelsea have scored in 80% of their games.
Leeds United have scored in 70% of their games.
Chelsea kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Leeds United kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards