Match details. A-League, Regular Season - 5. Kick-off is Fri 20 Nov, 09:40 Lagos time. It is played at CommBank Stadium, Sydney.
What's at stake. Western Sydney Wanderers are 2nd on 5 points after 3 games, 4 points behind Wellington Phoenix, level on points with Macarthur. Adelaide United FC are 12th on 0 points after 2 games, 2 points behind Newcastle Jets. A win would take them above Newcastle Jets.
Form. Western Sydney Wanderers have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D D W. Adelaide United FC have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W W.
The numbers. Western Sydney Wanderers score 1.4 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Western Sydney Wanderers average 12.1 shots (4.2 on target), 5.1 corners and 1.6 cards a game. Adelaide United FC score 1.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets. Adelaide United FC average 9.7 shots (4.2 on target), 5.9 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Western Sydney Wanderers are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour Adelaide United FC. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Western Sydney Wanderers 1-1 Adelaide United FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).