Kenya Police FC vs Posta Rangers FC
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sun 15 Nov, 13:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Kenya Police FC are 4th on 8 points after 5 games, 1 point behind AFC Leopards, level on points with 3K. A win would take them above AFC Leopards. Posta Rangers FC are 17th on 4 points after 5 games, level on points with Homeboyz, 3 points clear of Mombasa Elite. A win would take them above Homeboyz.
Form. Kenya Police FC have won three, drawn six and lost one of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L D. Posta Rangers FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L L.
The numbers. Kenya Police FC score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Kenya Police FC average 9.0 shots (4.0 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.6 cards a game. Posta Rangers FC score one and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Posta Rangers FC average 8.0 shots (2.3 on target), 3.3 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Kenya Police FC have won six, drawn two and lost two. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Kenya Police FC won two, one was drawn and Posta Rangers FC won one. The last time they met, on 13 Mar 2026, it finished Kenya Police FC 0-2 Posta Rangers FC.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 58% against the records' 36%.
The read. No firm call: Kenya Police FC are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Kenya Police FC the likelier winners; Kenya Police FC are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Kenya Police FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 32%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.16, 77% on the records (Kenya Police FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Posta Rangers FC: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Backup: Kenya Police FC or Draw at 1.17. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Kenya Police FC 1-1 Posta Rangers FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).