Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sat 14 Nov, 12:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Ulinzi Stars FC are 13th on 5 points after 5 games, level on points with Mathare United, 1 point clear of Nairobi United. A win would take them above Mathare United. Migori Youth FC are 8th on 6 points after 4 games, level on points with Tusker, level on points with APS Bomet. A win would take them above Tusker.
Form. Ulinzi Stars FC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D L. Migori Youth FC have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D D D.
The numbers. Ulinzi Stars FC score one and concede one a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Ulinzi Stars FC average 9.7 shots (3.4 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.3 cards a game. Migori Youth FC score 1.1 and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Migori Youth FC average 9.6 shots (3.5 on target), 3.8 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 24%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 2.5 Goals at 1.42, 76% on the records (Ulinzi Stars FC: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home; Migori Youth FC: under 2.5 goals in 8 of 10). Leave: Migori Youth FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Migori Youth FC or draw and under 3.5 goals (no result call); Double Chance: Draw or Migori Youth FC (no result call). Predicted score: Ulinzi Stars FC 0-0 Migori Youth FC (16% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).