Nairobi United FC vs Mara Sugar FC

Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sat 14 Nov, 12:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Nairobi United FC are 14th on 4 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Ulinzi Stars, level on points with Bandari. A win would take them above Ulinzi Stars. Mara Sugar FC are 11th on 6 points after 5 games, level on points with Shabana, 1 point clear of Mathare United. A win would take them above Shabana.

Form. Nairobi United FC have won two, drawn six and lost two of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D D D. Mara Sugar FC have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D W D.

The numbers. Nairobi United FC score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Nairobi United FC average 11.8 shots (2.9 on target), 5.1 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Mara Sugar FC score one and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Mara Sugar FC average 9.9 shots (3.0 on target), 4.5 corners and 1.0 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last five meetings Nairobi United FC have won one, drawn two and lost two. None of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Nairobi United FC won one, two were drawn and Mara Sugar FC won one. The last time they met, on 1 Apr 2026, it finished Nairobi United FC 1-1 Mara Sugar FC.

The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%. Five of the last five meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Nairobi United FC or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Mara Sugar FC or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Nairobi United FC 1-1 Mara Sugar FC (14% chance).