CA Banfield vs Boca Juniors
Match details. Copa Argentina, Semi-finals. Kick-off is Sat 14 Nov, 23:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Florencio Solá, Lomas de Zamora, Provincia de Buenos Aires.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. CA Banfield have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W D. Boca Juniors have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L.
The numbers. CA Banfield score one and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. CA Banfield average 12.8 shots (2.9 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 40% of the ball. Boca Juniors score two and concede one a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. Boca Juniors average 11.7 shots (4.2 on target), 5.5 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings CA Banfield have won two, drawn one and lost five. Two of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. In the last four, CA Banfield won one and Boca Juniors won three. The last time they met, on 24 Aug 2025, it finished CA Banfield 0-2 Boca Juniors: CA Banfield had 9 shots to 19, 35% of the ball, one yellow card.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%; six of the last eight meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. A knockout game (Semi-finals) with penalties if level, and Boca Juniors are not clearly stronger. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game.
The read. Boca Juniors or the draw. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Boca Juniors the likelier winners; Boca Juniors are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Boca Juniors; the meetings favour Boca Juniors. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%. Six of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Boca Juniors at 1.11, 89% on the records (Boca Juniors unbeaten in 6 of 6 away; CA Banfield failed to win 5 of 5 at home). Backup: 2nd Half - Double Chance: Draw or Boca Juniors at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Boca Juniors or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Boca Juniors to Win (the signs point different ways); Boca Juniors or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CA Banfield 1-1 Boca Juniors (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).