Wollongong Wolves FC vs Preston Lions FC
Match details. Australian Championship, Group Stage - 4. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 07:00 Lagos time. It is played at WIN Stadium, Wollongong.
What's at stake. Wollongong Wolves FC are 2nd on 5 points after 3 games, 2 points clear of Sutherland Sharks. Preston Lions FC are 3rd on 4 points after 3 games, 3 points clear of Canberra FC.
Form. Wollongong Wolves FC have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W W. In this competition Wollongong Wolves FC have gone L W. Preston Lions FC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D L. In this competition Preston Lions FC have gone W L.
The numbers. Wollongong Wolves FC score 1.3 and concede two a game in their last seven at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Wollongong Wolves FC average 4.7 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Preston Lions FC score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Preston Lions FC average 4.3 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 69%.
The case against. Wollongong Wolves FC's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. Preston Lions FC to win. Preston Lions FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Preston Lions FC.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Preston Lions FC Win & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Preston Lions FC 1UP (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Wollongong Wolves FC 0-1 Preston Lions FC (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).