Match details. Australian Championship, Group Stage - 4. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 05:00 Lagos time. It is played at Lambert Park, Sydney.
What's at stake. APIA Leichhardt are 2nd on 7 points after 3 games. Broadmeadow Magic FC are 1st on 8 points after 3 games.
Form. APIA Leichhardt have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L W. Broadmeadow Magic FC have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W L. In this competition Broadmeadow Magic FC have gone W W.
The numbers. APIA Leichhardt score 2.4 and concede 1.3 a game in their last seven at home, with two clean sheets. APIA Leichhardt average 14.8 shots (6.9 on target), 5.2 corners and 1.6 cards a game. Broadmeadow Magic FC score 2.2 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Broadmeadow Magic FC average 4.7 corners and 1.3 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make APIA Leichhardt the likelier winners, but Broadmeadow Magic FC are the stronger side on form and the table.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Broadmeadow Magic FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: APIA Leichhardt 2-1 Broadmeadow Magic FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).